Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models position 38°C as the leading outcome for Paris's August 13 high amid an ongoing heatwave, with 35–39°C ranges expected across northern France under a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly advection of warmer air masses. Model consensus highlights limited overnight cooling due to urban heat retention and minimal cloud cover, supporting trader emphasis on the 37–39°C band that accounts for over 90% of implied probability. Updated guidance through August 11 notes potential for localized 40°C readings farther south but slightly lower peaks in the Paris basin, with any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or convective development likely to determine final resolution within the narrow 36–39°C window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 13 agosto?
38°C 59%
37°C 18%
39°C 14%
36°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
5%
37°C
18%
38°C
59%
39°C
14%
40°C
4%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
38°C 59%
37°C 18%
39°C 14%
36°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
32°C or below
$398 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$84 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$544 Vol.
1%
35°C
$119 Vol.
2%
36°C
$646 Vol.
5%
37°C
$656 Vol.
18%
38°C
$1,798 Vol.
59%
39°C
$115 Vol.
14%
40°C
$75 Vol.
4%
41°C
$214 Vol.
1%
42°C or higher
$342 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models position 38°C as the leading outcome for Paris's August 13 high amid an ongoing heatwave, with 35–39°C ranges expected across northern France under a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly advection of warmer air masses. Model consensus highlights limited overnight cooling due to urban heat retention and minimal cloud cover, supporting trader emphasis on the 37–39°C band that accounts for over 90% of implied probability. Updated guidance through August 11 notes potential for localized 40°C readings farther south but slightly lower peaks in the Paris basin, with any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or convective development likely to determine final resolution within the narrow 36–39°C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,993Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models position 38°C as the leading outcome for Paris's August 13 high amid an ongoing heatwave, with 35–39°C ranges expected across northern France under a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly advection of warmer air masses. Model consensus highlights limited overnight cooling due to urban heat retention and minimal cloud cover, supporting trader emphasis on the 37–39°C band that accounts for over 90% of implied probability. Updated guidance through August 11 notes potential for localized 40°C readings farther south but slightly lower peaks in the Paris basin, with any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or convective development likely to determine final resolution within the narrow 36–39°C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,993Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models position 38°C as the leading outcome for Paris's August 13 high amid an ongoing heatwave, with 35–39°C ranges expected across northern France under a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly advection of warmer air masses. Model consensus highlights limited overnight cooling due to urban heat retention and minimal cloud cover, supporting trader emphasis on the 37–39°C band that accounts for over 90% of implied probability. Updated guidance through August 11 notes potential for localized 40°C readings farther south but slightly lower peaks in the Paris basin, with any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or convective development likely to determine final resolution within the narrow 36–39°C window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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