Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, positioning Seoul for afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius on May 18 under partly cloudy skies and driving the 81% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average daily highs typically rise from around 23°C early in the month toward 25°C, yet current above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures add modest warming potential. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on the official maximum temperature reading and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover before the 24-hour window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul il 18 maggio?
25°C or higher 82%
24°C 16%
23°C 1.5%
22°C 1.1%
NUOVO
$83,327 Vol.
NUOVO
$83,327 Vol.
18 mag 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
16%
25°C or higher
82%
25°C or higher 82%
24°C 16%
23°C 1.5%
22°C 1.1%
NUOVO
$83,327 Vol.
NUOVO
$83,327 Vol.
18 mag 2026
15°C or below
$12,932 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5,911 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$5,706 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$8,650 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$4,641 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,445 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$9,398 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$8,317 Vol.
1%
23°C
$7,785 Vol.
2%
24°C
$4,631 Vol.
16%
25°C or higher
$11,947 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, positioning Seoul for afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius on May 18 under partly cloudy skies and driving the 81% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average daily highs typically rise from around 23°C early in the month toward 25°C, yet current above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures add modest warming potential. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on the official maximum temperature reading and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover before the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$83,327Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, positioning Seoul for afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius on May 18 under partly cloudy skies and driving the 81% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average daily highs typically rise from around 23°C early in the month toward 25°C, yet current above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures add modest warming potential. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on the official maximum temperature reading and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover before the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$83,327Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, positioning Seoul for afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius on May 18 under partly cloudy skies and driving the 81% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average daily highs typically rise from around 23°C early in the month toward 25°C, yet current above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures add modest warming potential. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on the official maximum temperature reading and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover before the 24-hour window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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