Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high around 28–29°C for Shanghai on August 13, driven by widespread cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity that limit daytime solar heating and convective mixing. These conditions align with mid-August climatology under a subtropical monsoon influence, where typical peaks near 31–32°C are moderated by precipitation and reduced insolation. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects model spread in shower timing and intensity, with lower probabilities for 30°C+ underscoring expectations of persistent overcast skies rather than clearing trends that could allow greater warming. Updated runs later today will refine the exact maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 13 agosto?
28°C 38%
29°C 37%
27°C 16%
30°C 11%
NUOVO
$29,687 Vol.
NUOVO
$29,687 Vol.
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
16%
28°C
38%
29°C
37%
30°C
11%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 38%
29°C 37%
27°C 16%
30°C 11%
NUOVO
$29,687 Vol.
NUOVO
$29,687 Vol.
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
$584 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$973 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,001 Vol.
1%
27°C
$3,541 Vol.
16%
28°C
$7,004 Vol.
38%
29°C
$4,467 Vol.
37%
30°C
$6,113 Vol.
11%
31°C
$3,542 Vol.
3%
32°C
$1,201 Vol.
1%
33°C
$613 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$649 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high around 28–29°C for Shanghai on August 13, driven by widespread cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity that limit daytime solar heating and convective mixing. These conditions align with mid-August climatology under a subtropical monsoon influence, where typical peaks near 31–32°C are moderated by precipitation and reduced insolation. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects model spread in shower timing and intensity, with lower probabilities for 30°C+ underscoring expectations of persistent overcast skies rather than clearing trends that could allow greater warming. Updated runs later today will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$29,687Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high around 28–29°C for Shanghai on August 13, driven by widespread cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity that limit daytime solar heating and convective mixing. These conditions align with mid-August climatology under a subtropical monsoon influence, where typical peaks near 31–32°C are moderated by precipitation and reduced insolation. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects model spread in shower timing and intensity, with lower probabilities for 30°C+ underscoring expectations of persistent overcast skies rather than clearing trends that could allow greater warming. Updated runs later today will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,687Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high around 28–29°C for Shanghai on August 13, driven by widespread cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity that limit daytime solar heating and convective mixing. These conditions align with mid-August climatology under a subtropical monsoon influence, where typical peaks near 31–32°C are moderated by precipitation and reduced insolation. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects model spread in shower timing and intensity, with lower probabilities for 30°C+ underscoring expectations of persistent overcast skies rather than clearing trends that could allow greater warming. Updated runs later today will refine the exact maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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