Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a maximum of 36°C in Taipei on August 14, with apparent temperatures reaching 40°C amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects. This aligns with mid-August climatology under persistent subtropical high pressure favoring subsidence warming and light winds, though scattered thunderstorms could briefly moderate peaks. Model consensus supports 35–37°C as the most likely range, explaining why those outcomes hold the highest market-implied probabilities (38.5% for 36°C, 26.5% for 35°C, 19.5% for 37°C). Minor forecast revisions overnight or localized convective cooling remain the main variables that could shift final readings within the narrow uncertainty band traders are pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 14 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Taipei il 14 agosto?
36°C 39%
35°C 27%
37°C 22%
34°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
27%
36°C
39%
37°C
22%
38°C or higher
2%
36°C 39%
35°C 27%
37°C 22%
34°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ago 2026
28°C or below
$474 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$103 Vol.
1%
32°C
$737 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,343 Vol.
2%
34°C
$541 Vol.
8%
35°C
$1,681 Vol.
27%
36°C
$1,343 Vol.
39%
37°C
$2,055 Vol.
22%
38°C or higher
$524 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a maximum of 36°C in Taipei on August 14, with apparent temperatures reaching 40°C amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects. This aligns with mid-August climatology under persistent subtropical high pressure favoring subsidence warming and light winds, though scattered thunderstorms could briefly moderate peaks. Model consensus supports 35–37°C as the most likely range, explaining why those outcomes hold the highest market-implied probabilities (38.5% for 36°C, 26.5% for 35°C, 19.5% for 37°C). Minor forecast revisions overnight or localized convective cooling remain the main variables that could shift final readings within the narrow uncertainty band traders are pricing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$9,329Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a maximum of 36°C in Taipei on August 14, with apparent temperatures reaching 40°C amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects. This aligns with mid-August climatology under persistent subtropical high pressure favoring subsidence warming and light winds, though scattered thunderstorms could briefly moderate peaks. Model consensus supports 35–37°C as the most likely range, explaining why those outcomes hold the highest market-implied probabilities (38.5% for 36°C, 26.5% for 35°C, 19.5% for 37°C). Minor forecast revisions overnight or localized convective cooling remain the main variables that could shift final readings within the narrow uncertainty band traders are pricing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,329Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a maximum of 36°C in Taipei on August 14, with apparent temperatures reaching 40°C amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects. This aligns with mid-August climatology under persistent subtropical high pressure favoring subsidence warming and light winds, though scattered thunderstorms could briefly moderate peaks. Model consensus supports 35–37°C as the most likely range, explaining why those outcomes hold the highest market-implied probabilities (38.5% for 36°C, 26.5% for 35°C, 19.5% for 37°C). Minor forecast revisions overnight or localized convective cooling remain the main variables that could shift final readings within the narrow uncertainty band traders are pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti