Recent NOAA forecast guidance points to a mid-90s high in Houston on August 14, with afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms likely moderating peak temperatures. This creates tight market-implied odds between the 92-93°F (40.5%) and 94-95°F (35.5%) bins, reflecting model spread on convective timing and cloud cover that can shave 1–3°F off daily maxima in the humid subtropical climate. Historical August averages near 93–95°F provide context, while ongoing Gulf moisture and weak steering flow sustain uncertainty resolved only by final observational data from NWS stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Houston il 14 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Houston il 14 agosto?
92-93°F 41%
94-95°F 36%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ago 2026
81°F o inferiore
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
2%
100°F o superiore
1%
92-93°F 41%
94-95°F 36%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ago 2026
81°F o inferiore
$154 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$150 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$148 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$86 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$25 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$49 Vol.
13%
92-93°F
$370 Vol.
41%
94-95°F
$217 Vol.
36%
96-97°F
$2 Vol.
6%
98-99°F
$12 Vol.
2%
100°F o superiore
$167 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NOAA forecast guidance points to a mid-90s high in Houston on August 14, with afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms likely moderating peak temperatures. This creates tight market-implied odds between the 92-93°F (40.5%) and 94-95°F (35.5%) bins, reflecting model spread on convective timing and cloud cover that can shave 1–3°F off daily maxima in the humid subtropical climate. Historical August averages near 93–95°F provide context, while ongoing Gulf moisture and weak steering flow sustain uncertainty resolved only by final observational data from NWS stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,380Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NOAA forecast guidance points to a mid-90s high in Houston on August 14, with afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms likely moderating peak temperatures. This creates tight market-implied odds between the 92-93°F (40.5%) and 94-95°F (35.5%) bins, reflecting model spread on convective timing and cloud cover that can shave 1–3°F off daily maxima in the humid subtropical climate. Historical August averages near 93–95°F provide context, while ongoing Gulf moisture and weak steering flow sustain uncertainty resolved only by final observational data from NWS stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,380Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NOAA forecast guidance points to a mid-90s high in Houston on August 14, with afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms likely moderating peak temperatures. This creates tight market-implied odds between the 92-93°F (40.5%) and 94-95°F (35.5%) bins, reflecting model spread on convective timing and cloud cover that can shave 1–3°F off daily maxima in the humid subtropical climate. Historical August averages near 93–95°F provide context, while ongoing Gulf moisture and weak steering flow sustain uncertainty resolved only by final observational data from NWS stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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