Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance converge on a daytime high of 90–93°F for Miami on August 14, supporting the market’s strong preference for the 92–93°F bin. Typical mid-August subtropical conditions—moderate easterly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon convection—limit extreme warming while preventing significant cooling, consistent with observed highs near 90–94°F over the prior week. No tropical systems or unusual steering patterns are forecast to alter the regime, and climatological August maxima average 88–90°F with occasional 92–94°F peaks under similar setups. Updated model runs through tonight and morning observations will refine the final reading before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Miami il 14 agosto?
92-93°F 63%
94-95°F 26%
90-91°F 15%
96-97°F 3.5%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
63%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 63%
94-95°F 26%
90-91°F 15%
96-97°F 3.5%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
63%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance converge on a daytime high of 90–93°F for Miami on August 14, supporting the market’s strong preference for the 92–93°F bin. Typical mid-August subtropical conditions—moderate easterly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon convection—limit extreme warming while preventing significant cooling, consistent with observed highs near 90–94°F over the prior week. No tropical systems or unusual steering patterns are forecast to alter the regime, and climatological August maxima average 88–90°F with occasional 92–94°F peaks under similar setups. Updated model runs through tonight and morning observations will refine the final reading before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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