Persistent inflation pressures, elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, and the Federal Reserve’s September 2026 rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.96% as of late September, after briefly touching 5.04-5.05%—its highest level since 2007. Heavy Treasury issuance, fiscal deficit concerns, and resilient growth have contributed to a higher term premium and market-implied odds of at least one additional 25-basis-point hike by year-end. Upcoming FOMC meetings and CPI releases will shape expectations for the peak yield trajectory into 2027, with futures pricing reflecting a higher-for-longer policy path versus earlier forecasts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuanto sarà alto il rendimento del Tesoro a 10 anni prima del 2027?
Quanto sarà alto il rendimento del Tesoro a 10 anni prima del 2027?
$535,216 Vol.
30 dic 2026
5,1%
73%
5,2%
37%
5,5%
14%
5,7%
6%
6,0%
5%
$535,216 Vol.
5,1%
$16,105 Vol.
73%
5,2%
$105,478 Vol.
37%
5,5%
$55,684 Vol.
14%
5,7%
$22,616 Vol.
6%
6,0%
$14,234 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Persistent inflation pressures, elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, and the Federal Reserve’s September 2026 rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.96% as of late September, after briefly touching 5.04-5.05%—its highest level since 2007. Heavy Treasury issuance, fiscal deficit concerns, and resilient growth have contributed to a higher term premium and market-implied odds of at least one additional 25-basis-point hike by year-end. Upcoming FOMC meetings and CPI releases will shape expectations for the peak yield trajectory into 2027, with futures pricing reflecting a higher-for-longer policy path versus earlier forecasts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Volume
$535,216Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Persistent inflation pressures, elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, and the Federal Reserve’s September 2026 rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.96% as of late September, after briefly touching 5.04-5.05%—its highest level since 2007. Heavy Treasury issuance, fiscal deficit concerns, and resilient growth have contributed to a higher term premium and market-implied odds of at least one additional 25-basis-point hike by year-end. Upcoming FOMC meetings and CPI releases will shape expectations for the peak yield trajectory into 2027, with futures pricing reflecting a higher-for-longer policy path versus earlier forecasts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Volume
$535,216Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
Persistent inflation pressures, elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, and the Federal Reserve’s September 2026 rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.96% as of late September, after briefly touching 5.04-5.05%—its highest level since 2007. Heavy Treasury issuance, fiscal deficit concerns, and resilient growth have contributed to a higher term premium and market-implied odds of at least one additional 25-basis-point hike by year-end. Upcoming FOMC meetings and CPI releases will shape expectations for the peak yield trajectory into 2027, with futures pricing reflecting a higher-for-longer policy path versus earlier forecasts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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