Adam Hamilton's late April 2026 entry into the crowded Democratic primary for Kansas U.S. Senate has driven the current trader consensus, as his rapid fundraising of over $1 million in the first week and profile as founding pastor of a major United Methodist congregation give him clear momentum ahead of the August 4 contest. Other candidates including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, Christy Davis, Erik Murray, and Sandy Spidel Neumann continue to seek support in a field of more than ten contenders, yet none have matched Hamilton's early financial and visibility edge. The implied probabilities reflect this dynamic in a state where the eventual Democratic nominee would challenge Republican incumbent Roger Marshall, with no major developments in the past week altering the positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAdam Hamilton 87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.3%
Patrick Schmidt 3.7%
Sharice Davids 1.3%
$129,683 Vol.
$129,683 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
4%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sharice Davids
1%
Christy Davis
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
Adam Hamilton 87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.3%
Patrick Schmidt 3.7%
Sharice Davids 1.3%
$129,683 Vol.
$129,683 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
4%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sharice Davids
1%
Christy Davis
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamilton's late April 2026 entry into the crowded Democratic primary for Kansas U.S. Senate has driven the current trader consensus, as his rapid fundraising of over $1 million in the first week and profile as founding pastor of a major United Methodist congregation give him clear momentum ahead of the August 4 contest. Other candidates including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, Christy Davis, Erik Murray, and Sandy Spidel Neumann continue to seek support in a field of more than ten contenders, yet none have matched Hamilton's early financial and visibility edge. The implied probabilities reflect this dynamic in a state where the eventual Democratic nominee would challenge Republican incumbent Roger Marshall, with no major developments in the past week altering the positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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