Adam Hamilton’s rapid emergence as the frontrunner in the August 4 Kansas Democratic Senate primary has shaped trader consensus, with the market pricing him at an 86.5 percent implied probability. The prominent Methodist pastor announced his candidacy on April 30 and quickly raised more than one million dollars, giving him early financial and name-recognition advantages over a crowded field that includes former USDA official Christy Davis, state Senator Patrick Schmidt, and several lesser-known challengers. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have occurred since mid-May, leaving Hamilton’s early organizational edge as the dominant factor reflected in current pricing. The primary winner will face Republican incumbent Roger Marshall in November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAdam Hamilton 87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.5%
Patrick Schmidt 3.7%
Sharice Davids 1.3%
$129,683 Vol.
$129,683 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
4%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sharice Davids
1%
Christy Davis
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Adam Hamilton 87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.5%
Patrick Schmidt 3.7%
Sharice Davids 1.3%
$129,683 Vol.
$129,683 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
4%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sharice Davids
1%
Christy Davis
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamilton’s rapid emergence as the frontrunner in the August 4 Kansas Democratic Senate primary has shaped trader consensus, with the market pricing him at an 86.5 percent implied probability. The prominent Methodist pastor announced his candidacy on April 30 and quickly raised more than one million dollars, giving him early financial and name-recognition advantages over a crowded field that includes former USDA official Christy Davis, state Senator Patrick Schmidt, and several lesser-known challengers. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have occurred since mid-May, leaving Hamilton’s early organizational edge as the dominant factor reflected in current pricing. The primary winner will face Republican incumbent Roger Marshall in November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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