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icon for Kim Jong Un come leader supremo della Corea del Nord entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Geopolitica·Corea Del Nord

Kim Jong Un come leader supremo della Corea del Nord entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

icon for Kim Jong Un come leader supremo della Corea del Nord entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Geopolitica·Corea Del Nord

Kim Jong Un come leader supremo della Corea del Nord entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

dic 31

dic 31

Sì

6% probabilità
Polymarket

$75,600 Vol.

Sì

6% probabilità
Polymarket

$75,600 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kim Jong Un's recent reappointment as president of state affairs by North Korea's Supreme People's Assembly in March 2026, following his February re-election as Workers' Party general secretary at the Ninth Party Congress, underscores his consolidated control over key institutions. These formal endorsements, alongside public appearances directing youth mobilization and nuclear force expansion, reflect institutional stability and elite alignment with the current leadership. South Korean intelligence assessments in April 2026 further highlight grooming of his daughter Kim Ju-ae for potential succession, pointing to dynastic continuity rather than abrupt transition. With no reported challenges to his authority or health developments in early 2026, traders assess minimal risk of removal by year-end 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$75,600
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kim Jong Un's recent reappointment as president of state affairs by North Korea's Supreme People's Assembly in March 2026, following his February re-election as Workers' Party general secretary at the Ninth Party Congress, underscores his consolidated control over key institutions. These formal endorsements, alongside public appearances directing youth mobilization and nuclear force expansion, reflect institutional stability and elite alignment with the current leadership. South Korean intelligence assessments in April 2026 further highlight grooming of his daughter Kim Ju-ae for potential succession, pointing to dynastic continuity rather than abrupt transition. With no reported challenges to his authority or health developments in early 2026, traders assess minimal risk of removal by year-end 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$75,600
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Kim Jong Un come leader supremo della Corea del Nord entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Kim Jong Un fuori come Leader Supremo della Corea del Nord entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" a 6%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 6¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 6% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Kim Jong Un come leader supremo della Corea del Nord entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" ha generato $75.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 5, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Kim Jong Un come leader supremo della Corea del Nord entro il 31 dicembre 2026?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

Questo è un mercato molto aperto. L'attuale leader per "Kim Jong Un come leader supremo della Corea del Nord entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" è "Kim Jong Un fuori come Leader Supremo della Corea del Nord entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" a solo 6%. Con nessun esito che detiene una forte maggioranza, i trader vedono questo come altamente incerto, il che può presentare opportunità di trading uniche. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale, quindi aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per vedere come si evolvono le probabilità.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Kim Jong Un come leader supremo della Corea del Nord entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.