Rep. Julia Letlow holds the dominant position in trader assessments for the Louisiana Republican Senate primary outcome due to her 45 percent showing in the May 16 primary and President Trump's endorsement. This placed her first and advanced her to a June 27 runoff against state Treasurer John Fleming, who received 28 percent. Incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy, who drew 25 percent amid longstanding tensions over his 2021 impeachment vote against Trump, was eliminated. Letlow's lead reflects consolidated support among Trump-aligned voters and her established congressional record, while Fleming's narrower base and the short runoff timeline limit his projected path. The market's implied probabilities align with these primary results and the absence of major late developments that would alter the balance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJulia Letlow 90%
John Fleming 9.7%
Bill Cassidy <1%
Julie Emerson <1%
$364,760 Vol.
$364,760 Vol.
Julia Letlow
90%
John Fleming
10%
Bill Cassidy
<1%
Julie Emerson
<1%
Blake Miguez
<1%
Kathy Seiden
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
<1%
Samuel "Sammy" Wyatt
<1%
Randall Arrington
<1%
Tracy Dendy
<1%
Chris Holder
<1%
Xan John
<1%
Julia Letlow 90%
John Fleming 9.7%
Bill Cassidy <1%
Julie Emerson <1%
$364,760 Vol.
$364,760 Vol.
Julia Letlow
90%
John Fleming
10%
Bill Cassidy
<1%
Julie Emerson
<1%
Blake Miguez
<1%
Kathy Seiden
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
<1%
Samuel "Sammy" Wyatt
<1%
Randall Arrington
<1%
Tracy Dendy
<1%
Chris Holder
<1%
Xan John
<1%
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Julia Letlow holds the dominant position in trader assessments for the Louisiana Republican Senate primary outcome due to her 45 percent showing in the May 16 primary and President Trump's endorsement. This placed her first and advanced her to a June 27 runoff against state Treasurer John Fleming, who received 28 percent. Incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy, who drew 25 percent amid longstanding tensions over his 2021 impeachment vote against Trump, was eliminated. Letlow's lead reflects consolidated support among Trump-aligned voters and her established congressional record, while Fleming's narrower base and the short runoff timeline limit his projected path. The market's implied probabilities align with these primary results and the absence of major late developments that would alter the balance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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