Recent results from Louisiana’s closed Republican primary on May 16 positioned U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow as the clear frontrunner for the party’s Senate nomination. Letlow, backed by President Trump’s endorsement, captured the largest share of votes and advanced to the June 27 runoff against State Treasurer John Fleming, while incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy finished third and was eliminated. Traders’ strong consensus around Letlow reflects her polling momentum in the closing weeks, broad party support in a heavily Republican state, and the structural advantage of her Trump alignment heading into the head-to-head contest. Fleming’s second-place showing keeps a narrow path open for him, though current pricing indicates limited expectations for an upset in the runoff. No other candidates registered meaningful support.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJulia Letlow 89%
John Fleming 9.2%
Bill Cassidy <1%
Julie Emerson <1%
$364,714 Vol.
$364,714 Vol.
Julia Letlow
89%
John Fleming
9%
Bill Cassidy
<1%
Julie Emerson
<1%
Blake Miguez
<1%
Kathy Seiden
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
<1%
Samuel "Sammy" Wyatt
<1%
Randall Arrington
<1%
Tracy Dendy
<1%
Chris Holder
<1%
Xan John
<1%
Julia Letlow 89%
John Fleming 9.2%
Bill Cassidy <1%
Julie Emerson <1%
$364,714 Vol.
$364,714 Vol.
Julia Letlow
89%
John Fleming
9%
Bill Cassidy
<1%
Julie Emerson
<1%
Blake Miguez
<1%
Kathy Seiden
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
<1%
Samuel "Sammy" Wyatt
<1%
Randall Arrington
<1%
Tracy Dendy
<1%
Chris Holder
<1%
Xan John
<1%
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent results from Louisiana’s closed Republican primary on May 16 positioned U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow as the clear frontrunner for the party’s Senate nomination. Letlow, backed by President Trump’s endorsement, captured the largest share of votes and advanced to the June 27 runoff against State Treasurer John Fleming, while incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy finished third and was eliminated. Traders’ strong consensus around Letlow reflects her polling momentum in the closing weeks, broad party support in a heavily Republican state, and the structural advantage of her Trump alignment heading into the head-to-head contest. Fleming’s second-place showing keeps a narrow path open for him, though current pricing indicates limited expectations for an upset in the runoff. No other candidates registered meaningful support.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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