Strong market consensus at 22°C reflects the latest Met Office observational data and forecast model runs showing London locked in a stable warm air mass during the ongoing heatwave, with urban heat island effects and light winds limiting overnight radiative cooling to produce a minimum near that threshold. High daytime maxima near 34°C have transitioned into mild evening conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover changes that would accelerate temperature drops. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates minimal variability in the final hours, aligning trader sentiment with verified measurements over model projections. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast thundery activity could still shift the recorded low, though current atmospheric patterns make such developments unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 14 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 14 agosto?
22°C 100.0%
16°C o inferiore <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$27,771 Vol.
$27,771 Vol.
14 ago 2026
16°C o inferiore
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Sì
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C o superiore
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C o inferiore <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$27,771 Vol.
$27,771 Vol.
14 ago 2026
16°C o inferiore
$1,387 Vol.
No
17°C
$525 Vol.
No
18°C
$10,917 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,486 Vol.
No
20°C
$794 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,205 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,962 Vol.
Sì
23°C
$2,045 Vol.
No
24°C
$675 Vol.
No
25°C
$459 Vol.
No
26°C o superiore
$316 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong market consensus at 22°C reflects the latest Met Office observational data and forecast model runs showing London locked in a stable warm air mass during the ongoing heatwave, with urban heat island effects and light winds limiting overnight radiative cooling to produce a minimum near that threshold. High daytime maxima near 34°C have transitioned into mild evening conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover changes that would accelerate temperature drops. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates minimal variability in the final hours, aligning trader sentiment with verified measurements over model projections. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast thundery activity could still shift the recorded low, though current atmospheric patterns make such developments unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Volume
$27,771Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong market consensus at 22°C reflects the latest Met Office observational data and forecast model runs showing London locked in a stable warm air mass during the ongoing heatwave, with urban heat island effects and light winds limiting overnight radiative cooling to produce a minimum near that threshold. High daytime maxima near 34°C have transitioned into mild evening conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover changes that would accelerate temperature drops. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates minimal variability in the final hours, aligning trader sentiment with verified measurements over model projections. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast thundery activity could still shift the recorded low, though current atmospheric patterns make such developments unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,771Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Strong market consensus at 22°C reflects the latest Met Office observational data and forecast model runs showing London locked in a stable warm air mass during the ongoing heatwave, with urban heat island effects and light winds limiting overnight radiative cooling to produce a minimum near that threshold. High daytime maxima near 34°C have transitioned into mild evening conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover changes that would accelerate temperature drops. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates minimal variability in the final hours, aligning trader sentiment with verified measurements over model projections. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast thundery activity could still shift the recorded low, though current atmospheric patterns make such developments unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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