Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office has positioned 18°C as the expected overnight minimum for London on August 16, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with observed trends where temperatures have held above seasonal averages near 13–14°C, with ensemble runs showing minimal variance around this threshold. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability on 18°C captures this data-driven convergence ahead of official verification. A realistic shift would require late-model adjustments from unexpected frontal passage or stronger nocturnal cooling, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes low-probability before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 16 agosto?
18°C 100.0%
14°C o inferiore <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$20,028 Vol.
$20,028 Vol.
16 ago 2026
14°C o inferiore
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Sì
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C o superiore
No
18°C 100.0%
14°C o inferiore <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$20,028 Vol.
$20,028 Vol.
16 ago 2026
14°C o inferiore
$1,219 Vol.
No
15°C
$828 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,656 Vol.
No
17°C
$5,510 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,846 Vol.
Sì
19°C
$1,311 Vol.
No
20°C
$569 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,548 Vol.
No
22°C
$177 Vol.
No
23°C
$182 Vol.
No
24°C o superiore
$182 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office has positioned 18°C as the expected overnight minimum for London on August 16, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with observed trends where temperatures have held above seasonal averages near 13–14°C, with ensemble runs showing minimal variance around this threshold. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability on 18°C captures this data-driven convergence ahead of official verification. A realistic shift would require late-model adjustments from unexpected frontal passage or stronger nocturnal cooling, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes low-probability before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volume
$20,028Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office has positioned 18°C as the expected overnight minimum for London on August 16, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with observed trends where temperatures have held above seasonal averages near 13–14°C, with ensemble runs showing minimal variance around this threshold. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability on 18°C captures this data-driven convergence ahead of official verification. A realistic shift would require late-model adjustments from unexpected frontal passage or stronger nocturnal cooling, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes low-probability before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,028Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office has positioned 18°C as the expected overnight minimum for London on August 16, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with observed trends where temperatures have held above seasonal averages near 13–14°C, with ensemble runs showing minimal variance around this threshold. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability on 18°C captures this data-driven convergence ahead of official verification. A realistic shift would require late-model adjustments from unexpected frontal passage or stronger nocturnal cooling, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes low-probability before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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