**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service, WeatherBug, and other models points to a nighttime low in Miami on August 23, 2026, most likely in the low 80s°F, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 80-81°F (36.5%) and 82-83°F (24.5%).** Persistent southerly flow, high dew points in the mid-70s, and elevated humidity limit radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered evening thunderstorms. Official NWS guidance specifies lows around 80–84°F, consistent with recent observations where overnight temperatures have remained elevated amid the subtropical August pattern. Historical averages near 77–78°F are exceeded due to the current warm, moist air mass without significant frontal passages or drier northerly winds. Traders appear to weigh the strong model agreement and lack of cooling mechanisms, with probabilities concentrated on these bins while lower ranges (below 78°F) reflect only slim chances of atypical clearing or advection. Upcoming NWS updates and evening model runs will provide the final resolution criteria as the night progresses.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Miami il 23 agosto?
80-81°F 38%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 19%
76-77°F 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
71°F o inferiore
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
4%
90°F o superiore
1%
80-81°F 38%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 19%
76-77°F 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
71°F o inferiore
$58 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$137 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$61 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
13%
78-79°F
$41 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$161 Vol.
38%
82-83°F
$67 Vol.
25%
84-85°F
$76 Vol.
7%
86-87°F
$20 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$76 Vol.
4%
90°F o superiore
$75 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service, WeatherBug, and other models points to a nighttime low in Miami on August 23, 2026, most likely in the low 80s°F, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 80-81°F (36.5%) and 82-83°F (24.5%).**
Persistent southerly flow, high dew points in the mid-70s, and elevated humidity limit radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered evening thunderstorms. Official NWS guidance specifies lows around 80–84°F, consistent with recent observations where overnight temperatures have remained elevated amid the subtropical August pattern. Historical averages near 77–78°F are exceeded due to the current warm, moist air mass without significant frontal passages or drier northerly winds.
Traders appear to weigh the strong model agreement and lack of cooling mechanisms, with probabilities concentrated on these bins while lower ranges (below 78°F) reflect only slim chances of atypical clearing or advection. Upcoming NWS updates and evening model runs will provide the final resolution criteria as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$617Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service, WeatherBug, and other models points to a nighttime low in Miami on August 23, 2026, most likely in the low 80s°F, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 80-81°F (36.5%) and 82-83°F (24.5%).**
Persistent southerly flow, high dew points in the mid-70s, and elevated humidity limit radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered evening thunderstorms. Official NWS guidance specifies lows around 80–84°F, consistent with recent observations where overnight temperatures have remained elevated amid the subtropical August pattern. Historical averages near 77–78°F are exceeded due to the current warm, moist air mass without significant frontal passages or drier northerly winds.
Traders appear to weigh the strong model agreement and lack of cooling mechanisms, with probabilities concentrated on these bins while lower ranges (below 78°F) reflect only slim chances of atypical clearing or advection. Upcoming NWS updates and evening model runs will provide the final resolution criteria as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$617Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service, WeatherBug, and other models points to a nighttime low in Miami on August 23, 2026, most likely in the low 80s°F, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 80-81°F (36.5%) and 82-83°F (24.5%).** Persistent southerly flow, high dew points in the mid-70s, and elevated humidity limit radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered evening thunderstorms. Official NWS guidance specifies lows around 80–84°F, consistent with recent observations where overnight temperatures have remained elevated amid the subtropical August pattern. Historical averages near 77–78°F are exceeded due to the current warm, moist air mass without significant frontal passages or drier northerly winds. Traders appear to weigh the strong model agreement and lack of cooling mechanisms, with probabilities concentrated on these bins while lower ranges (below 78°F) reflect only slim chances of atypical clearing or advection. Upcoming NWS updates and evening model runs will provide the final resolution criteria as the night progresses.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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