Latest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows near 19–20°C for Milan on September 16 amid increasing cloud cover, light easterly winds, and a transitioning pressure field that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, with dew points around 17°C and minimal wind shear, support the market’s tight clustering around 17°C (30.0% implied probability) and 18°C (29.5%), while lower-probability outcomes like 13°C or below reflect tail risks from unexpected clear skies or model spread. Thunderstorm potential later in the period adds modest uncertainty to the minimum, as timing of cloud arrival directly influences how far temperatures fall before sunrise.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Milano il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Milano il 16 settembre?
13°C o inferiore 53%
23°C o superiore 53%
19°C 40%
20°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
53%
14°C
38%
15°C
13%
16°C
24%
17°C
30%
18°C
30%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C o superiore
53%
13°C o inferiore 53%
23°C o superiore 53%
19°C 40%
20°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
13°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
53%
14°C
$0 Vol.
38%
15°C
$8 Vol.
13%
16°C
$16 Vol.
24%
17°C
$0 Vol.
30%
18°C
$0 Vol.
30%
19°C
$0 Vol.
40%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows near 19–20°C for Milan on September 16 amid increasing cloud cover, light easterly winds, and a transitioning pressure field that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, with dew points around 17°C and minimal wind shear, support the market’s tight clustering around 17°C (30.0% implied probability) and 18°C (29.5%), while lower-probability outcomes like 13°C or below reflect tail risks from unexpected clear skies or model spread. Thunderstorm potential later in the period adds modest uncertainty to the minimum, as timing of cloud arrival directly influences how far temperatures fall before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$25Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows near 19–20°C for Milan on September 16 amid increasing cloud cover, light easterly winds, and a transitioning pressure field that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, with dew points around 17°C and minimal wind shear, support the market’s tight clustering around 17°C (30.0% implied probability) and 18°C (29.5%), while lower-probability outcomes like 13°C or below reflect tail risks from unexpected clear skies or model spread. Thunderstorm potential later in the period adds modest uncertainty to the minimum, as timing of cloud arrival directly influences how far temperatures fall before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows near 19–20°C for Milan on September 16 amid increasing cloud cover, light easterly winds, and a transitioning pressure field that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, with dew points around 17°C and minimal wind shear, support the market’s tight clustering around 17°C (30.0% implied probability) and 18°C (29.5%), while lower-probability outcomes like 13°C or below reflect tail risks from unexpected clear skies or model spread. Thunderstorm potential later in the period adds modest uncertainty to the minimum, as timing of cloud arrival directly influences how far temperatures fall before sunrise.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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