**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26–27°C overnight low for Singapore on September 16, reflecting stable tropical conditions under the prevailing southwest monsoon.** Official Meteorological Service Singapore guidance and multiple forecast models indicate minimum temperatures will remain above 27°C on most nights amid warm, humid air masses with light southeasterly winds and partly cloudy skies. Recent dry conditions tied to regional biomass burning have suppressed rainfall but not produced significant nocturnal cooling, keeping dew points elevated near 24–25°C. Historical September climatology for Changi Airport shows typical lows of 25–27°C, and current model runs show no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling episodes that would push readings to 25°C or below. The market’s tight clustering around 27°C (72.5% implied probability) aligns with this consensus, with only modest probability assigned to a 26°C dip if cloud cover thins more than expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Singapore il 16 settembre?
27°C 73%
26°C 41%
25°C 12%
24°C 10%
22°C o inferiore
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
12%
26°C
27%
27°C
73%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 73%
26°C 41%
25°C 12%
24°C 10%
22°C o inferiore
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
12%
26°C
27%
27°C
73%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26–27°C overnight low for Singapore on September 16, reflecting stable tropical conditions under the prevailing southwest monsoon.** Official Meteorological Service Singapore guidance and multiple forecast models indicate minimum temperatures will remain above 27°C on most nights amid warm, humid air masses with light southeasterly winds and partly cloudy skies. Recent dry conditions tied to regional biomass burning have suppressed rainfall but not produced significant nocturnal cooling, keeping dew points elevated near 24–25°C. Historical September climatology for Changi Airport shows typical lows of 25–27°C, and current model runs show no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling episodes that would push readings to 25°C or below. The market’s tight clustering around 27°C (72.5% implied probability) aligns with this consensus, with only modest probability assigned to a 26°C dip if cloud cover thins more than expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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