**Maduro faces U.S. narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York following his January 2026 capture and transfer to federal custody.** Both he and his wife have entered not guilty pleas, with a June 2027 trial date set in July 2026. Defense counsel has signaled pretrial motions to dismiss based on head-of-state immunity and challenges to the circumstances of his removal from Venezuela, drawing on precedents like the Noriega case while highlighting distinctions. The extended pretrial window through late 2026 and into 2027 provides time for further filings, potential plea discussions, diplomatic developments, or shifts in U.S. executive policy that could alter the case trajectory or prevent conviction on every count. Traders assign the 71% "No" probability to reflect these procedural and structural uncertainties rather than an assessment of the underlying indictment evidence alone.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
30% probabilità
$130,413 Vol.
$130,413 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Sì
30% probabilità
$130,413 Vol.
$130,413 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Maduro faces U.S. narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York following his January 2026 capture and transfer to federal custody.** Both he and his wife have entered not guilty pleas, with a June 2027 trial date set in July 2026. Defense counsel has signaled pretrial motions to dismiss based on head-of-state immunity and challenges to the circumstances of his removal from Venezuela, drawing on precedents like the Noriega case while highlighting distinctions. The extended pretrial window through late 2026 and into 2027 provides time for further filings, potential plea discussions, diplomatic developments, or shifts in U.S. executive policy that could alter the case trajectory or prevent conviction on every count. Traders assign the 71% "No" probability to reflect these procedural and structural uncertainties rather than an assessment of the underlying indictment evidence alone.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$130,413Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Maduro faces U.S. narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York following his January 2026 capture and transfer to federal custody.** Both he and his wife have entered not guilty pleas, with a June 2027 trial date set in July 2026. Defense counsel has signaled pretrial motions to dismiss based on head-of-state immunity and challenges to the circumstances of his removal from Venezuela, drawing on precedents like the Noriega case while highlighting distinctions. The extended pretrial window through late 2026 and into 2027 provides time for further filings, potential plea discussions, diplomatic developments, or shifts in U.S. executive policy that could alter the case trajectory or prevent conviction on every count. Traders assign the 71% "No" probability to reflect these procedural and structural uncertainties rather than an assessment of the underlying indictment evidence alone.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$130,413Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Maduro faces U.S. narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York following his January 2026 capture and transfer to federal custody.** Both he and his wife have entered not guilty pleas, with a June 2027 trial date set in July 2026. Defense counsel has signaled pretrial motions to dismiss based on head-of-state immunity and challenges to the circumstances of his removal from Venezuela, drawing on precedents like the Noriega case while highlighting distinctions. The extended pretrial window through late 2026 and into 2027 provides time for further filings, potential plea discussions, diplomatic developments, or shifts in U.S. executive policy that could alter the case trajectory or prevent conviction on every count. Traders assign the 71% "No" probability to reflect these procedural and structural uncertainties rather than an assessment of the underlying indictment evidence alone.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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