This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Graham Platner holds a dominant position in the Maine Democratic Senate primary because former Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign on April 30 after months of trailing him in polls and struggling to raise funds. Platner, a Marine veteran and oyster farmer, has consolidated support among party voters through his working-class messaging and endorsements from labor groups, while shifting focus to the general election matchup against Republican Senator Susan Collins. The June 9 primary now features only low-support challengers such as David Costello. Traders assign Platner a 98.3 percent implied probability of winning the nomination, though an unforeseen late scandal or turnout surprise could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Graham Platner holds a dominant position in the Maine Democratic Senate primary because former Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign on April 30 after months of trailing him in polls and struggling to raise funds. Platner, a Marine veteran and oyster farmer, has consolidated support among party voters through his working-class messaging and endorsements from labor groups, while shifting focus to the general election matchup against Republican Senator Susan Collins. The June 9 primary now features only low-support challengers such as David Costello. Traders assign Platner a 98.3 percent implied probability of winning the nomination, though an unforeseen late scandal or turnout surprise could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
May 2 2026
Graham Platner surges to near-certain frontrunner status in Maine Democratic Senate primary
Graham Platner jumps to 99%7%
Market prices surged to nearly 99% for Graham Platner as he became the overwhelming favorite to win the Democratic primary, reflecting broad voter support and the collapse of other candidates' chances, including Janet Mills who dropped to near zero.
Apr 17 2026
Maine legislature passes data center moratorium bill amid community backlash
Janet Mills plunges to 9%15%
Maine lawmakers approved a yearlong moratorium on large data centers, reflecting growing political opposition to tech projects due to concerns about energy use and community impact. Governor Janet Mills, running for Senate, faced this contentious issue, which may have influenced voter perceptions and the primary race.
Feb 27 2026
Maine governor challenges federal immigration enforcement amid rising community fear
Janet Mills drops to 22%12%
Governor Janet Mills publicly demanded warrants and transparency from federal immigration officials amid widespread fear in immigrant communities due to ICE operations. This stance likely affected her support in the Democratic primary, as voters reacted to the immigration enforcement climate.
Jan 23 2026
Platner wins endorsement from Senator Bernie Sanders
Graham Platner surges to 99%33%
Senator Sanders publicly endorsed Platner, cementing his anti‑establishment credentials and driving his price close to certainty.
Jan 15 2026
Department of Homeland Security launches immigration enforcement operation in Maine
Janet Mills dips to 33%3%
The DHS initiated 'Operation Catch of the Day' targeting criminal illegal migrants in Maine, leading to increased immigration enforcement activity. Governor Janet Mills publicly criticized the operation, highlighting tensions that may have influenced voter sentiment and the Senate primary dynamics.
Dec 30 2025
Maine Governor Mills declines to sign data‑center moratorium
Graham Platner surges to 92%34%
Mills’ decision not to sign the moratorium signaled a split with the legislature, further isolating her and boosting Platner’s momentum.
Dec 18 2025
Maine Democratic Party removes Mills from primary ballot
Janet Mills plunges to 0%36%
Following her withdrawal, the state party officially struck Mills’ name from the ballot, effectively ending her campaign and solidifying Platner’s lead.
Dec 7 2025
Maine Democratic Party releases fundraising report showing Platner outpacing Mills
Graham Platner surges to 78%17%
A state‑party filing revealed Platner had raised significantly more money than Mills, confirming his growing viability and pushing his market price higher.
Nov 25 2025
Janet Mills announces she will not seek re‑election as governor
Janet Mills plunges to 9%21%
Mills confirmed she would not run for a third term as governor, removing any fallback option and further eroding her political base in the Senate race.
Nov 14 2025
Janet Mills withdraws from Maine Senate race, citing fundraising challenges
Graham Platner jumps to 64%5%
Janet Mills, the Democratic governor of Maine and party establishment favorite, announced her withdrawal from the U.S. Senate race after failing to generate sufficient fundraising and enthusiasm to compete against Graham Platner, an oyster farmer and political newcomer. This marked a major upset and shifted market confidence heavily towards Platner.
Nov 13 2025
Schumer’s recruitment of Platner criticized by moderate Democrats
Graham Platner surges to 72%27%
Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer’s backing of Platner drew backlash from moderate Democrats, reinforcing the narrative of an anti‑establishment wave and further rallying grassroots support for Platner.
Oct 22 2025
Maine Legislature passes data‑center moratorium bill
Graham Platner jumps to 64%11%
The Democratic‑controlled Legislature approved a year‑long freeze on large data‑center projects, sending the bill to Gov. Mills. The controversy over tech development highlighted local economic concerns and boosted Platner’s outsider appeal.
Oct 14 2025
Jared Golden ends Senate campaign
Jared Golden drops to 0%11%
Golden withdrew from the race, causing his price to fall to zero.
Oct 12 2025
Troy Jackson exits Maine Senate primary
Troy Jackson dips to 0%3%
Jackson announced his withdrawal, pushing his market price to zero.
Oct 10 2025
Jordan Wood suspends Senate campaign
Jordan Wood plunges to 0%19%
Wood withdrew, eliminating his share of the race and driving his price to zero.
Oct 8 2025
Chellie Pingree ends Senate bid
Chellie Pingree dips to 0%3%
Pingree formally ended her campaign, sending her price to zero.
Oct 5 2025
Dan Kleban drops out of Senate primary
Dan Kleban plunges to 0%15%
Kleban announced he would not continue his campaign, causing his market price to collapse to zero.
Oct 3 2025
Gov. Janet Mills withdraws from Maine Democratic Senate primary, endorses Graham Platner
Graham Platner jumps to 59%14%
Mills announced she could not raise sufficient funds and withdrew, effectively clearing the field for Platner and causing his support to surge as voters coalesced around the anti‑establishment candidate.
Oct 3 2025
Gov. Janet Mills abandons Senate campaign, endorses Graham Platner
Graham Platner surges to 60%18%
Maine’s two‑term Democratic governor announced she could not raise enough funds and withdrew, throwing her support behind oyster farmer Graham Platner. The move eliminated the establishment favorite and sent Platner’s market price sharply upward.
Sep 20 2025
Early poll shows Platner leading primary field
Graham Platner jumps to 42%8%
A regional poll released by a local news outlet placed Platner ahead of Mills and other candidates, prompting early price gains for Platner and declines for the rest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Graham Platner holds a dominant position in the Maine Democratic Senate primary because former Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign on April 30 after months of trailing him in polls and struggling to raise funds. Platner, a Marine veteran and oyster farmer, has consolidated support among party voters through his working-class messaging and endorsements from labor groups, while shifting focus to the general election matchup against Republican Senator Susan Collins. The June 9 primary now features only low-support challengers such as David Costello. Traders assign Platner a 98.3 percent implied probability of winning the nomination, though an unforeseen late scandal or turnout surprise could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Graham Platner holds a dominant position in the Maine Democratic Senate primary because former Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign on April 30 after months of trailing him in polls and struggling to raise funds. Platner, a Marine veteran and oyster farmer, has consolidated support among party voters through his working-class messaging and endorsements from labor groups, while shifting focus to the general election matchup against Republican Senator Susan Collins. The June 9 primary now features only low-support challengers such as David Costello. Traders assign Platner a 98.3 percent implied probability of winning the nomination, though an unforeseen late scandal or turnout surprise could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
May 2 2026
Graham Platner surges to near-certain frontrunner status in Maine Democratic Senate primary
Graham Platner jumps to 99%7%
Market prices surged to nearly 99% for Graham Platner as he became the overwhelming favorite to win the Democratic primary, reflecting broad voter support and the collapse of other candidates' chances, including Janet Mills who dropped to near zero.
Apr 17 2026
Maine legislature passes data center moratorium bill amid community backlash
Janet Mills plunges to 9%15%
Maine lawmakers approved a yearlong moratorium on large data centers, reflecting growing political opposition to tech projects due to concerns about energy use and community impact. Governor Janet Mills, running for Senate, faced this contentious issue, which may have influenced voter perceptions and the primary race.
Feb 27 2026
Maine governor challenges federal immigration enforcement amid rising community fear
Janet Mills drops to 22%12%
Governor Janet Mills publicly demanded warrants and transparency from federal immigration officials amid widespread fear in immigrant communities due to ICE operations. This stance likely affected her support in the Democratic primary, as voters reacted to the immigration enforcement climate.
Jan 23 2026
Platner wins endorsement from Senator Bernie Sanders
Graham Platner surges to 99%33%
Senator Sanders publicly endorsed Platner, cementing his anti‑establishment credentials and driving his price close to certainty.
Jan 15 2026
Department of Homeland Security launches immigration enforcement operation in Maine
Janet Mills dips to 33%3%
The DHS initiated 'Operation Catch of the Day' targeting criminal illegal migrants in Maine, leading to increased immigration enforcement activity. Governor Janet Mills publicly criticized the operation, highlighting tensions that may have influenced voter sentiment and the Senate primary dynamics.
Dec 30 2025
Maine Governor Mills declines to sign data‑center moratorium
Graham Platner surges to 92%34%
Mills’ decision not to sign the moratorium signaled a split with the legislature, further isolating her and boosting Platner’s momentum.
Dec 18 2025
Maine Democratic Party removes Mills from primary ballot
Janet Mills plunges to 0%36%
Following her withdrawal, the state party officially struck Mills’ name from the ballot, effectively ending her campaign and solidifying Platner’s lead.
Dec 7 2025
Maine Democratic Party releases fundraising report showing Platner outpacing Mills
Graham Platner surges to 78%17%
A state‑party filing revealed Platner had raised significantly more money than Mills, confirming his growing viability and pushing his market price higher.
Nov 25 2025
Janet Mills announces she will not seek re‑election as governor
Janet Mills plunges to 9%21%
Mills confirmed she would not run for a third term as governor, removing any fallback option and further eroding her political base in the Senate race.
Nov 14 2025
Janet Mills withdraws from Maine Senate race, citing fundraising challenges
Graham Platner jumps to 64%5%
Janet Mills, the Democratic governor of Maine and party establishment favorite, announced her withdrawal from the U.S. Senate race after failing to generate sufficient fundraising and enthusiasm to compete against Graham Platner, an oyster farmer and political newcomer. This marked a major upset and shifted market confidence heavily towards Platner.
Nov 13 2025
Schumer’s recruitment of Platner criticized by moderate Democrats
Graham Platner surges to 72%27%
Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer’s backing of Platner drew backlash from moderate Democrats, reinforcing the narrative of an anti‑establishment wave and further rallying grassroots support for Platner.
Oct 22 2025
Maine Legislature passes data‑center moratorium bill
Graham Platner jumps to 64%11%
The Democratic‑controlled Legislature approved a year‑long freeze on large data‑center projects, sending the bill to Gov. Mills. The controversy over tech development highlighted local economic concerns and boosted Platner’s outsider appeal.
Oct 14 2025
Jared Golden ends Senate campaign
Jared Golden drops to 0%11%
Golden withdrew from the race, causing his price to fall to zero.
Oct 12 2025
Troy Jackson exits Maine Senate primary
Troy Jackson dips to 0%3%
Jackson announced his withdrawal, pushing his market price to zero.
Oct 10 2025
Jordan Wood suspends Senate campaign
Jordan Wood plunges to 0%19%
Wood withdrew, eliminating his share of the race and driving his price to zero.
Oct 8 2025
Chellie Pingree ends Senate bid
Chellie Pingree dips to 0%3%
Pingree formally ended her campaign, sending her price to zero.
Oct 5 2025
Dan Kleban drops out of Senate primary
Dan Kleban plunges to 0%15%
Kleban announced he would not continue his campaign, causing his market price to collapse to zero.
Oct 3 2025
Gov. Janet Mills withdraws from Maine Democratic Senate primary, endorses Graham Platner
Graham Platner jumps to 59%14%
Mills announced she could not raise sufficient funds and withdrew, effectively clearing the field for Platner and causing his support to surge as voters coalesced around the anti‑establishment candidate.
Oct 3 2025
Gov. Janet Mills abandons Senate campaign, endorses Graham Platner
Graham Platner surges to 60%18%
Maine’s two‑term Democratic governor announced she could not raise enough funds and withdrew, throwing her support behind oyster farmer Graham Platner. The move eliminated the establishment favorite and sent Platner’s market price sharply upward.
Sep 20 2025
Early poll shows Platner leading primary field
Graham Platner jumps to 42%8%
A regional poll released by a local news outlet placed Platner ahead of Mills and other candidates, prompting early price gains for Platner and declines for the rest.
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Domande frequenti
"Vincitore delle primarie del Senato democratico del Maine" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Graham Platner" a 98%, seguito da "Janet Mills" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 98¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.
Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle primarie del Senato democratico del Maine" ha generato $3 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Sep 15, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.
Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle primarie del Senato democratico del Maine", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.
L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle primarie del Senato democratico del Maine" è "Graham Platner" a 98%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Janet Mills" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.
Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle primarie del Senato democratico del Maine" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.
Sì. Non è necessario fare trading per restare informati. Questa pagina funziona come un tracker live per "Vincitore delle primarie del Senato democratico del Maine". Le probabilità degli esiti si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che arrivano nuove operazioni. Puoi aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti e controllare la sezione commenti per vedere cosa dicono gli altri trader. Puoi anche usare i filtri temporali sul grafico per vedere come sono cambiate le quote nel tempo. È una finestra gratuita e in tempo reale su ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.
Le quote di Polymarket sono stabilite da veri trader che investono denaro reale nelle loro convinzioni, il che tende a produrre previsioni accurate. Con $3 million scambiati su "Vincitore delle primarie del Senato democratico del Maine", questi prezzi aggregano la conoscenza collettiva e la convinzione di migliaia di partecipanti — spesso superando sondaggi, previsioni di esperti e indagini tradizionali. I mercati predittivi come Polymarket hanno un forte track record di accuratezza, specialmente man mano che gli eventi si avvicinano alla data di risoluzione. Ad esempio, Polymarket ha un punteggio di accuratezza a un mese di 94%. Per le ultime statistiche sull'accuratezza delle previsioni di Polymarket, visita la pagina accuratezza su Polymarket.
Per piazzare la tua prima operazione su "Vincitore delle primarie del Senato democratico del Maine", registrati per un account Polymarket gratuito e finanzialo con crypto, carta di credito o debito, o bonifico bancario. Una volta finanziato il tuo account, torna su questa pagina, seleziona l'esito su cui vuoi fare trading, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se sei nuovo ai mercati predittivi, clicca il link "Come funziona" in cima a qualsiasi pagina Polymarket per una guida passo-passo su come funziona il trading.
Su Polymarket, il prezzo di ogni esito rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Un prezzo di 98¢ per "Graham Platner" nel mercato "Vincitore delle primarie del Senato democratico del Maine" significa che i trader credono collettivamente che ci sia circa una probabilità di 98% che "Graham Platner" sia il risultato corretto. Se compri azioni "Sì" a 98¢ e l'esito è corretto, ricevi $1,00 per azione — un profitto di 2¢ per azione. Se errato, quelle azioni valgono $0.
Il mercato "Vincitore delle primarie del Senato democratico del Maine" è programmato per la risoluzione il o intorno al Jun 9, 2026. Questo significa che il trading rimarrà aperto e le quote continueranno a cambiare man mano che emergono nuove informazioni fino a quella data. La tempistica esatta di risoluzione dipende da quando il risultato ufficiale diventa disponibile, come indicato nella sezione "Regole" su questa pagina.
Il mercato "Vincitore delle primarie del Senato democratico del Maine" ha una comunità attiva di 38 commenti dove i trader condividono le loro analisi, discutono gli esiti e commentano gli sviluppi dell'ultima ora. Scorri in basso alla sezione commenti per leggere cosa pensano gli altri partecipanti. Puoi anche filtrare per "Maggiori detentori" per vedere su cosa sono posizionati i più grandi trader del mercato, o controllare la scheda "Attività" per un feed in tempo reale delle operazioni.
Polymarket è il più grande mercato predittivo al mondo, dove puoi restare informato e trarre profitto dalla tua conoscenza di eventi reali. I trader comprano e vendono azioni sugli esiti per argomenti che spaziano dalla politica e le elezioni alle crypto, finanza, sport, tecnologia e cultura, inclusi mercati come "Vincitore delle primarie del Senato democratico del Maine". I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale supportate da convinzione finanziaria, fornendo spesso segnali più rapidi e accurati di sondaggi, opinionisti o indagini tradizionali.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti