Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with a strong majority, facing Democrat Callie Barr in the November general election. Michigan's 1st District, covering the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, has favored Republicans in recent cycles, with Bergman winning 59 percent in 2024. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Bergman's incumbency advantages, and limited Democratic infrastructure. These structural and recent factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 87 percent implied probability of holding the seat.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera MI-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MI-01
$19,276 Vol.
$19,276 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
87%
Partito Democratico
14%
$19,276 Vol.
$19,276 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$10,750 Vol.
87%
Partito Democratico
$8,525 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with a strong majority, facing Democrat Callie Barr in the November general election. Michigan's 1st District, covering the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, has favored Republicans in recent cycles, with Bergman winning 59 percent in 2024. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Bergman's incumbency advantages, and limited Democratic infrastructure. These structural and recent factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 87 percent implied probability of holding the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$19,276Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with a strong majority, facing Democrat Callie Barr in the November general election. Michigan's 1st District, covering the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, has favored Republicans in recent cycles, with Bergman winning 59 percent in 2024. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Bergman's incumbency advantages, and limited Democratic infrastructure. These structural and recent factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 87 percent implied probability of holding the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,276Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with a strong majority, facing Democrat Callie Barr in the November general election. Michigan's 1st District, covering the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, has favored Republicans in recent cycles, with Bergman winning 59 percent in 2024. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's partisan lean, Bergman's incumbency advantages, and limited Democratic infrastructure. These structural and recent factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 87 percent implied probability of holding the seat.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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