United Russia holds a commanding position in the Moscow Oblast Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, with traders assigning it a 96.8% implied probability of finishing first. The party currently controls 36 of 50 seats and benefits from incumbency advantages, including strong regional executive backing under Governor Andrey Vorobyov and the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation plus single-member districts. Other registered parties, including CPRF, LDPR, New People, and smaller lists, trail far behind in market pricing and historical regional performance. Coinciding national legislative voting on the same dates reinforces the established party structure. While late developments such as turnout shifts, registration rulings, or coordinated opposition efforts could theoretically alter results, the current trader consensus reflects United Russia’s consistent dominance across comparable Russian regional contests.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoUnited Russia 96.7%
The Greens 1.6%
New People 1.4%
Rodina 1.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
United Russia
97%
The Greens
2%
New People
1%
Rodina
1%
Communists of Russia
1%
A Just Russia
1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
CPRF
<1%
LDPR
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
United Russia 96.7%
The Greens 1.6%
New People 1.4%
Rodina 1.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
United Russia
$1,343 Vol.
97%
The Greens
$492 Vol.
2%
New People
$869 Vol.
1%
Rodina
$347 Vol.
1%
Communists of Russia
$284 Vol.
1%
A Just Russia
$604 Vol.
1%
Party of Pensioners
$592 Vol.
<1%
CPRF
$347 Vol.
<1%
LDPR
$352 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$362 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Moscow Oblast Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, with traders assigning it a 96.8% implied probability of finishing first. The party currently controls 36 of 50 seats and benefits from incumbency advantages, including strong regional executive backing under Governor Andrey Vorobyov and the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation plus single-member districts. Other registered parties, including CPRF, LDPR, New People, and smaller lists, trail far behind in market pricing and historical regional performance. Coinciding national legislative voting on the same dates reinforces the established party structure. While late developments such as turnout shifts, registration rulings, or coordinated opposition efforts could theoretically alter results, the current trader consensus reflects United Russia’s consistent dominance across comparable Russian regional contests.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Mercato aperto: Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Volume
$5,595Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Moscow Oblast Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, with traders assigning it a 96.8% implied probability of finishing first. The party currently controls 36 of 50 seats and benefits from incumbency advantages, including strong regional executive backing under Governor Andrey Vorobyov and the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation plus single-member districts. Other registered parties, including CPRF, LDPR, New People, and smaller lists, trail far behind in market pricing and historical regional performance. Coinciding national legislative voting on the same dates reinforces the established party structure. While late developments such as turnout shifts, registration rulings, or coordinated opposition efforts could theoretically alter results, the current trader consensus reflects United Russia’s consistent dominance across comparable Russian regional contests.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$5,595Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding position in the Moscow Oblast Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, with traders assigning it a 96.8% implied probability of finishing first. The party currently controls 36 of 50 seats and benefits from incumbency advantages, including strong regional executive backing under Governor Andrey Vorobyov and the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation plus single-member districts. Other registered parties, including CPRF, LDPR, New People, and smaller lists, trail far behind in market pricing and historical regional performance. Coinciding national legislative voting on the same dates reinforces the established party structure. While late developments such as turnout shifts, registration rulings, or coordinated opposition efforts could theoretically alter results, the current trader consensus reflects United Russia’s consistent dominance across comparable Russian regional contests.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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