Traders view SDA as the clear frontrunner for the Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner, consistent with its entrenched support among Bosniak voters in the Federation and historical results in the complex ethnic-based electoral system. Lower implied probabilities for HDZ BiH, SNSD, SDS, and SDP BiH reflect their narrower regional bases and coalition dependencies in Republika Srpska or among Croats. The 78% consensus on SDA and sub-5% levels for most rivals capture the wisdom of crowds assessing stable party standings ahead of the vote, with no major recent announcements, polling shifts, or coalition realignments reported in the past 30 days that would alter positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari in Bosnia-Erzegovina
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari in Bosnia-Erzegovina
SDA 78%
NiP 4.7%
DF 4.6%
SDS 4.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
SDA
78%
NiP
5%
DF
5%
SDS
4%
SNSD
4%
HDZ BiH
11%
SDP BiH
1%
SDA 78%
NiP 4.7%
DF 4.6%
SDS 4.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
SDA
$2,524 Vol.
78%
NiP
$214 Vol.
5%
DF
$292 Vol.
5%
SDS
$185 Vol.
4%
SNSD
$725 Vol.
4%
HDZ BiH
$167 Vol.
11%
SDP BiH
$453 Vol.
1%
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).Traders view SDA as the clear frontrunner for the Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner, consistent with its entrenched support among Bosniak voters in the Federation and historical results in the complex ethnic-based electoral system. Lower implied probabilities for HDZ BiH, SNSD, SDS, and SDP BiH reflect their narrower regional bases and coalition dependencies in Republika Srpska or among Croats. The 78% consensus on SDA and sub-5% levels for most rivals capture the wisdom of crowds assessing stable party standings ahead of the vote, with no major recent announcements, polling shifts, or coalition realignments reported in the past 30 days that would alter positioning.
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Volume
$4,559Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 6:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).Traders view SDA as the clear frontrunner for the Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner, consistent with its entrenched support among Bosniak voters in the Federation and historical results in the complex ethnic-based electoral system. Lower implied probabilities for HDZ BiH, SNSD, SDS, and SDP BiH reflect their narrower regional bases and coalition dependencies in Republika Srpska or among Croats. The 78% consensus on SDA and sub-5% levels for most rivals capture the wisdom of crowds assessing stable party standings ahead of the vote, with no major recent announcements, polling shifts, or coalition realignments reported in the past 30 days that would alter positioning.
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Volume
$4,559Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 6:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Traders view SDA as the clear frontrunner for the Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner, consistent with its entrenched support among Bosniak voters in the Federation and historical results in the complex ethnic-based electoral system. Lower implied probabilities for HDZ BiH, SNSD, SDS, and SDP BiH reflect their narrower regional bases and coalition dependencies in Republika Srpska or among Croats. The 78% consensus on SDA and sub-5% levels for most rivals capture the wisdom of crowds assessing stable party standings ahead of the vote, with no major recent announcements, polling shifts, or coalition realignments reported in the past 30 days that would alter positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti