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Elezioni·Elezioni Globali

Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi

icon for Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi
Elezioni·Elezioni Globali

Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi

Jordan Bardella 23%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$72,925,522 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 23%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$72,925,522 Vol.

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$897,942 Vol.

23%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$707,380 Vol.

20%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$557,680 Vol.

11%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$527,474 Vol.

6%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,208,013 Vol.

5%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,158,596 Vol.

5%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,022,804 Vol.

4%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,243,264 Vol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,368,348 Vol.

3%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$842,952 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,306,422 Vol.

2%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$1,482,619 Vol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$901,481 Vol.

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$741,751 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,376,532 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,271,059 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$2,096,552 Vol.

1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$2,637,194 Vol.

1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$755,509 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$2,730,805 Vol.

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,196,701 Vol.

1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$3,589,447 Vol.

1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$2,848,261 Vol.

1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,566,213 Vol.

1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$2,130,162 Vol.

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$3,165,513 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$3,069,758 Vol.

1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$3,833,543 Vol.

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$3,585,312 Vol.

1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,364,522 Vol.

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,707,523 Vol.

1%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,007,182 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$3,296,006 Vol.

1%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$2,530,557 Vol.

1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$3,405,996 Vol.

1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$3,795,430 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The closely matched probabilities for Jordan Bardella and Édouard Philippe reflect a fragmented field ahead of the two-round presidential vote in April 2027, with Macron term-limited and no dominant frontrunner emerging. Bardella’s position draws support from National Rally strength in recent municipal contests and expectations that he would replace Marine Le Pen if her July 2027 appeal upholds the public-office ban. Philippe’s recent campaign launch as a centrist alternative has narrowed his gap in polling, positioning him as a viable runoff contender against the far right. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May confirmation of a fourth bid boosts left-wing visibility but underscores coalition divisions, while the broad field of over thirty declared or potential candidates sustains uncertainty. Any consolidation among centrists or further legal developments could shift the implied probabilities.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$72,925,522
Data di fine
30 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The closely matched probabilities for Jordan Bardella and Édouard Philippe reflect a fragmented field ahead of the two-round presidential vote in April 2027, with Macron term-limited and no dominant frontrunner emerging. Bardella’s position draws support from National Rally strength in recent municipal contests and expectations that he would replace Marine Le Pen if her July 2027 appeal upholds the public-office ban. Philippe’s recent campaign launch as a centrist alternative has narrowed his gap in polling, positioning him as a viable runoff contender against the far right. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May confirmation of a fourth bid boosts left-wing visibility but underscores coalition divisions, while the broad field of over thirty declared or potential candidates sustains uncertainty. Any consolidation among centrists or further legal developments could shift the implied probabilities.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$72,925,522
Data di fine
30 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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"Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 36 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jordan Bardella" a 23%, seguito da "Édouard Philippe" a 20%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 23¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 23% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi" ha generato $72.9 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 13, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi", esplora i 36 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi" è "Jordan Bardella" a 23%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 23% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Édouard Philippe" a 20%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.