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Elezioni·Etiopia

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Elezioni·Etiopia

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed 96.3%

Berhanu Nega 1.4%

Belete Molla <1%

Demeke Mekonnen <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Abiy Ahmed 96.3%

Berhanu Nega 1.4%

Belete Molla <1%

Demeke Mekonnen <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Abiy Ahmed

Abiy Ahmed

$2,279 Vol.

96%

icon for Berhanu Nega

Berhanu Nega

$822 Vol.

1%

icon for Belete Molla

Belete Molla

$331 Vol.

1%

icon for Demeke Mekonnen

Demeke Mekonnen

$1,263 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alesa Mengesha

Alesa Mengesha

$662 Vol.

<1%

icon for Shimelis Abdisa

Shimelis Abdisa

$822 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gedion Timothewos

Gedion Timothewos

$831 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adanech Abiebie

Adanech Abiebie

$831 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors incumbent Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's continuation, reflecting Prosperity Party dominance ahead of the June 1, 2026 general election for the House of Peoples' Representatives, where the PM is selected. Recent reports indicate the ruling party faces no opposition in nearly half of constituencies, securing parliamentary control in advance despite lingering security concerns in regions like Amhara and Oromia. Abiy's recent announcements of record $10 billion export revenues and manufacturing revival bolster economic momentum. While low-probability challengers like Berhanu Nega trail, scenarios such as opposition surges, no-confidence votes, or election disruptions could shift odds, though historical incumbency and party strength make upsets unlikely.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,841
Data di fine
1 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors incumbent Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's continuation, reflecting Prosperity Party dominance ahead of the June 1, 2026 general election for the House of Peoples' Representatives, where the PM is selected. Recent reports indicate the ruling party faces no opposition in nearly half of constituencies, securing parliamentary control in advance despite lingering security concerns in regions like Amhara and Oromia. Abiy's recent announcements of record $10 billion export revenues and manufacturing revival bolster economic momentum. While low-probability challengers like Berhanu Nega trail, scenarios such as opposition surges, no-confidence votes, or election disruptions could shift odds, though historical incumbency and party strength make upsets unlikely.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,841
Data di fine
1 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Abiy Ahmed" a 96%, seguito da "Berhanu Nega" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 96¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 96% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 27, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" è "Abiy Ahmed" a 96%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 96% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Berhanu Nega" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.