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Elezioni·Etiopia

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Elezioni·Etiopia

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed 98.8%

Belete Molla <1%

Demeke Mekonnen <1%

Alesa Mengesha <1%

Polymarket

$12,029 Vol.

Abiy Ahmed 98.8%

Belete Molla <1%

Demeke Mekonnen <1%

Alesa Mengesha <1%

Polymarket

$12,029 Vol.

icon for Abiy Ahmed

Abiy Ahmed

$3,703 Vol.

99%

icon for Belete Molla

Belete Molla

$1,117 Vol.

<1%

icon for Demeke Mekonnen

Demeke Mekonnen

$1,488 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alesa Mengesha

Alesa Mengesha

$1,049 Vol.

<1%

icon for Shimelis Abdisa

Shimelis Abdisa

$1,209 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gedion Timothewos

Gedion Timothewos

$1,218 Vol.

<1%

icon for Berhanu Nega

Berhanu Nega

$1,047 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adanech Abiebie

Adanech Abiebie

$1,199 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed’s entrenched position as Ethiopia’s incumbent prime minister and leader of the Prosperity Party drives the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current market odds. Recent months have featured his direct oversight of macroeconomic reforms, infrastructure launches, and regional diplomacy, including a reported 9.2 percent GDP growth and new African Union roles in digital innovation, all of which reinforce perceptions of continuity. The June 2026 general elections, which he has publicly committed to holding on schedule, represent the primary near-term test, with the House of People’s Representatives expected to select the next prime minister. While persistent regional security challenges in areas such as Amhara and Oromia could introduce volatility, historical patterns of incumbency advantage and party control make abrupt leadership transitions unlikely absent major unforeseen developments.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,029
Data di fine
1 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed’s entrenched position as Ethiopia’s incumbent prime minister and leader of the Prosperity Party drives the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current market odds. Recent months have featured his direct oversight of macroeconomic reforms, infrastructure launches, and regional diplomacy, including a reported 9.2 percent GDP growth and new African Union roles in digital innovation, all of which reinforce perceptions of continuity. The June 2026 general elections, which he has publicly committed to holding on schedule, represent the primary near-term test, with the House of People’s Representatives expected to select the next prime minister. While persistent regional security challenges in areas such as Amhara and Oromia could introduce volatility, historical patterns of incumbency advantage and party control make abrupt leadership transitions unlikely absent major unforeseen developments.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,029
Data di fine
1 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Abiy Ahmed" a 99%, seguito da "Belete Molla" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 99¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 99% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" ha generato $12K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 27, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" è "Abiy Ahmed" a 99%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 99% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Belete Molla" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.