Recent polling ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, general election shows the Social Democrats holding a steady lead, positioning party leader Magdalena Andersson as the trader consensus favorite to return as prime minister. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson's Moderate-led government, backed by the Tidö Agreement, faces headwinds from voter sentiment on economic conditions and security issues. Smaller parties' leaders register minimal probabilities, reflecting limited paths to forming a governing coalition without broader alliances. No major developments in the past month have altered these dynamics, with market pricing tracking the opposition's sustained advantage in opinion surveys.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoProssimo Primo Ministro della Svezia
Magdalena Andersson 69%
Ulf Kristersson 29%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.5%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,954,322 Vol.
$1,954,322 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
69%

Ulf Kristersson
29%

Jimmie Åkesson
2%

Ebba Busch
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
Magdalena Andersson 69%
Ulf Kristersson 29%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.5%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,954,322 Vol.
$1,954,322 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
69%

Ulf Kristersson
29%

Jimmie Åkesson
2%

Ebba Busch
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, general election shows the Social Democrats holding a steady lead, positioning party leader Magdalena Andersson as the trader consensus favorite to return as prime minister. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson's Moderate-led government, backed by the Tidö Agreement, faces headwinds from voter sentiment on economic conditions and security issues. Smaller parties' leaders register minimal probabilities, reflecting limited paths to forming a governing coalition without broader alliances. No major developments in the past month have altered these dynamics, with market pricing tracking the opposition's sustained advantage in opinion surveys.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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