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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali del 2028

Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali del 2028

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali del 2028

Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali del 2028

JD Vance 18.6%

Gavin Newsom 16.7%

Marco Rubio 13.9%

Kamala Harris 6.7%

Polymarket

$585,266,661 Vol.

JD Vance 18.6%

Gavin Newsom 16.7%

Marco Rubio 13.9%

Kamala Harris 6.7%

Polymarket

$585,266,661 Vol.

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$12,098,933 Vol.

19%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$16,415,322 Vol.

17%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$9,870,410 Vol.

14%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$7,455,213 Vol.

7%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$11,455,110 Vol.

5%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$4,215,022 Vol.

3%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$11,078,206 Vol.

3%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$6,414,967 Vol.

3%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$10,946,044 Vol.

3%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$7,865,730 Vol.

2%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$4,424,990 Vol.

2%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$18,251,549 Vol.

2%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$6,989,664 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$12,261,957 Vol.

1%

icon for JB Pritzker

JB Pritzker

$11,749,625 Vol.

1%

icon for Thomas Massie

Thomas Massie

$5,103,171 Vol.

1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$24,080,509 Vol.

1%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$10,468,838 Vol.

1%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$6,403,422 Vol.

1%

icon for Stephen Smith

Stephen Smith

$31,010,216 Vol.

1%

icon for Jamie Dimon

Jamie Dimon

$8,957,306 Vol.

1%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$33,051,563 Vol.

1%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$14,942,416 Vol.

1%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$24,295,446 Vol.

1%

icon for Ro Khanna

Ro Khanna

$8,326,679 Vol.

1%

icon for James Talarico

James Talarico

$5,537,072 Vol.

1%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$9,304,891 Vol.

1%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$23,985,177 Vol.

1%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$30,211,254 Vol.

1%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$33,191,368 Vol.

1%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$19,437,269 Vol.

1%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$41,299,194 Vol.

1%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$50,396,933 Vol.

1%

icon for Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

$6,186,783 Vol.

1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$35,587,005 Vol.

1%

icon for Eric Trump

Eric Trump

$11,997,492 Vol.

1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.The early positioning in the 2028 presidential race keeps trader consensus tightly clustered around Vice President JD Vance at 18.6%, California Governor Gavin Newsom at 16.7%, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 13.9%, reflecting their elevated national profiles more than two years before primaries. Vance maintains a modest lead through his vice-presidential visibility and strong showings in Republican straw polls such as CPAC, yet recent White House events including a May Rose Garden audience poll have lifted Rubio's standing via perceived alignment on foreign policy. Newsom sustains Democratic interest through his term-limited executive role and consistent early polling edges. Absent decisive 2026 midterm outcomes or major endorsements, shifts in cabinet performance, primary polling trends, or emerging scandals could widen gaps among these and lower-tier contenders like Kamala Harris.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$585,266,661
Data di fine
7 nov 2028
Mercato aperto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.The early positioning in the 2028 presidential race keeps trader consensus tightly clustered around Vice President JD Vance at 18.6%, California Governor Gavin Newsom at 16.7%, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 13.9%, reflecting their elevated national profiles more than two years before primaries. Vance maintains a modest lead through his vice-presidential visibility and strong showings in Republican straw polls such as CPAC, yet recent White House events including a May Rose Garden audience poll have lifted Rubio's standing via perceived alignment on foreign policy. Newsom sustains Democratic interest through his term-limited executive role and consistent early polling edges. Absent decisive 2026 midterm outcomes or major endorsements, shifts in cabinet performance, primary polling trends, or emerging scandals could widen gaps among these and lower-tier contenders like Kamala Harris.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$585,266,661
Data di fine
7 nov 2028
Mercato aperto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali del 2028" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 36 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "JD Vance" a 19%, seguito da "Gavin Newsom" a 17%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 19¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 19% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali del 2028" ha generato $585.3 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 11, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali del 2028", esplora i 36 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali del 2028" è "JD Vance" a 19%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 19% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Gavin Newsom" a 17%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali del 2028" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.