With the May 24 parliamentary elections just 11 days away under Cyprus's proportional representation system for 56 House of Representatives seats, trader consensus heavily favors DISY at 78.5% implied probability of securing the most seats, driven by its consistent narrow lead in the latest polls amid extreme field fragmentation from a record 753 candidates across 19 lists. Recent IMR/Unic (May 11) and Analytica (May 8) surveys show DISY at 19-23% versus AKEL's 18-21%, with ELAM, ALMA, and DIKO trailing far behind, boosting DISY's path to plurality despite a tight seat projection race (e.g., PolitPro aggregate: DISY 14 seats to AKEL's 14). A polls ban after May 16 adds uncertainty, but no major shifts have emerged in the past week beyond overseas polling station announcements. AKEL's 22% reflects its competitiveness, while smaller parties like ELAM (0.8%) face steep barriers to topping the field.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni alla Camera dei Rappresentanti di Cipro
Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera dei Rappresentanti di Cipro
DISY 79%
AKEL 22%
ELAM <1%
KOSP <1%
$32,591 Vol.
$32,591 Vol.
24 mag 2026
DISY
79%
AKEL
22%
ELAM
1%
KOSP
<1%
DIPA
<1%
DIKO
<1%
VOLT
<1%
EDEK
<1%
DNM (DEK)
<1%
DISY 79%
AKEL 22%
ELAM <1%
KOSP <1%
$32,591 Vol.
$32,591 Vol.
24 mag 2026
DISY
$7,812 Vol.
79%
AKEL
$4,592 Vol.
22%
ELAM
$3,588 Vol.
1%
KOSP
$2,313 Vol.
<1%
DIPA
$2,149 Vol.
<1%
DIKO
$3,435 Vol.
<1%
VOLT
$2,400 Vol.
<1%
EDEK
$3,473 Vol.
<1%
DNM (DEK)
$2,850 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).With the May 24 parliamentary elections just 11 days away under Cyprus's proportional representation system for 56 House of Representatives seats, trader consensus heavily favors DISY at 78.5% implied probability of securing the most seats, driven by its consistent narrow lead in the latest polls amid extreme field fragmentation from a record 753 candidates across 19 lists. Recent IMR/Unic (May 11) and Analytica (May 8) surveys show DISY at 19-23% versus AKEL's 18-21%, with ELAM, ALMA, and DIKO trailing far behind, boosting DISY's path to plurality despite a tight seat projection race (e.g., PolitPro aggregate: DISY 14 seats to AKEL's 14). A polls ban after May 16 adds uncertainty, but no major shifts have emerged in the past week beyond overseas polling station announcements. AKEL's 22% reflects its competitiveness, while smaller parties like ELAM (0.8%) face steep barriers to topping the field.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Mercato aperto: Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Volume
$32,591Data di fine
24 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).With the May 24 parliamentary elections just 11 days away under Cyprus's proportional representation system for 56 House of Representatives seats, trader consensus heavily favors DISY at 78.5% implied probability of securing the most seats, driven by its consistent narrow lead in the latest polls amid extreme field fragmentation from a record 753 candidates across 19 lists. Recent IMR/Unic (May 11) and Analytica (May 8) surveys show DISY at 19-23% versus AKEL's 18-21%, with ELAM, ALMA, and DIKO trailing far behind, boosting DISY's path to plurality despite a tight seat projection race (e.g., PolitPro aggregate: DISY 14 seats to AKEL's 14). A polls ban after May 16 adds uncertainty, but no major shifts have emerged in the past week beyond overseas polling station announcements. AKEL's 22% reflects its competitiveness, while smaller parties like ELAM (0.8%) face steep barriers to topping the field.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Volume
$32,591Data di fine
24 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With the May 24 parliamentary elections just 11 days away under Cyprus's proportional representation system for 56 House of Representatives seats, trader consensus heavily favors DISY at 78.5% implied probability of securing the most seats, driven by its consistent narrow lead in the latest polls amid extreme field fragmentation from a record 753 candidates across 19 lists. Recent IMR/Unic (May 11) and Analytica (May 8) surveys show DISY at 19-23% versus AKEL's 18-21%, with ELAM, ALMA, and DIKO trailing far behind, boosting DISY's path to plurality despite a tight seat projection race (e.g., PolitPro aggregate: DISY 14 seats to AKEL's 14). A polls ban after May 16 adds uncertainty, but no major shifts have emerged in the past week beyond overseas polling station announcements. AKEL's 22% reflects its competitiveness, while smaller parties like ELAM (0.8%) face steep barriers to topping the field.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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