Trader consensus positions AD+PD as the frontrunner for third place in vote share at 47% implied probability, reflecting recent Sagalytics polls (April 30–May 6) showing them at 2.3% versus Momentum's 2.0%, amid Labour's steady 53% lead over Nationalists at 43%. Earlier surveys, like Esprimi's (April 9–16), had Momentum edging ahead at 5.3% to AD+PD's 3.7%, but the campaign's snap call on April 27 has consolidated minor party support around these greens-left alliance, buoyed by anti-establishment sentiment in a fragmented "others" category exceeding 10%. With the May 30 election under single transferable vote, final momentum from debates and turnout in proportional representation could tip the closely contested third spot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAD+PD 54%
Momentum 30%
Imperium Europa 4.5%
Aħwa Maltin <1%
$42,851 Vol.
$42,851 Vol.
30 mag 2026
AD+PD
47%
Momentum
30%
Imperium Europa
5%
Aħwa Maltin
<1%
Nationalist Party
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
AD+PD 54%
Momentum 30%
Imperium Europa 4.5%
Aħwa Maltin <1%
$42,851 Vol.
$42,851 Vol.
30 mag 2026
AD+PD
$13,307 Vol.
47%
Momentum
$13,229 Vol.
30%
Imperium Europa
$4,053 Vol.
5%
Aħwa Maltin
$3,659 Vol.
<1%
Nationalist Party
$3,658 Vol.
<1%
Labour Party
$4,944 Vol.
<1%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of.
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).Trader consensus positions AD+PD as the frontrunner for third place in vote share at 47% implied probability, reflecting recent Sagalytics polls (April 30–May 6) showing them at 2.3% versus Momentum's 2.0%, amid Labour's steady 53% lead over Nationalists at 43%. Earlier surveys, like Esprimi's (April 9–16), had Momentum edging ahead at 5.3% to AD+PD's 3.7%, but the campaign's snap call on April 27 has consolidated minor party support around these greens-left alliance, buoyed by anti-establishment sentiment in a fragmented "others" category exceeding 10%. With the May 30 election under single transferable vote, final momentum from debates and turnout in proportional representation could tip the closely contested third spot.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of.
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of.
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Mercato aperto: May 1, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
Volume
$42,851Data di fine
30 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 6:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of.
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).Trader consensus positions AD+PD as the frontrunner for third place in vote share at 47% implied probability, reflecting recent Sagalytics polls (April 30–May 6) showing them at 2.3% versus Momentum's 2.0%, amid Labour's steady 53% lead over Nationalists at 43%. Earlier surveys, like Esprimi's (April 9–16), had Momentum edging ahead at 5.3% to AD+PD's 3.7%, but the campaign's snap call on April 27 has consolidated minor party support around these greens-left alliance, buoyed by anti-establishment sentiment in a fragmented "others" category exceeding 10%. With the May 30 election under single transferable vote, final momentum from debates and turnout in proportional representation could tip the closely contested third spot.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of.
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of.
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Volume
$42,851Data di fine
30 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 6:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions AD+PD as the frontrunner for third place in vote share at 47% implied probability, reflecting recent Sagalytics polls (April 30–May 6) showing them at 2.3% versus Momentum's 2.0%, amid Labour's steady 53% lead over Nationalists at 43%. Earlier surveys, like Esprimi's (April 9–16), had Momentum edging ahead at 5.3% to AD+PD's 3.7%, but the campaign's snap call on April 27 has consolidated minor party support around these greens-left alliance, buoyed by anti-establishment sentiment in a fragmented "others" category exceeding 10%. With the May 30 election under single transferable vote, final momentum from debates and turnout in proportional representation could tip the closely contested third spot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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