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icon for Vincitore del primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù

Vincitore del primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù

icon for Vincitore del primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù

Vincitore del primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù

Keiko Fujimori 99.4%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%

Jorge Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$2,553,263 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori 99.4%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%

Jorge Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$2,553,263 Vol.

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$937,378 Vol.

99%

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$386,271 Vol.

1%

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$219,739 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$195,412 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$204,210 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$23,181 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$20,542 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$39,378 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$26,878 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$19,821 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$24,448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$19,372 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$27,488 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$41,515 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$16,997 Vol.

<1%

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$23,764 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$13,835 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$17,108 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$159,265 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$106,007 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$10,668 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$8,790 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$11,193 Vol.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori's commanding trader consensus as first-round plurality winner in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election stems from ONPE tallies exceeding 99.7%—as of May 12—showing her at approximately 17%, well ahead of rivals in a fragmented 35-candidate field. Her conservative Fuerza Popular base consolidated support amid high abstention and null votes, echoing her strong pre-election polling despite three prior runner-up finishes. Recent Jurados Electorales Especiales proclamations and ongoing audits have solidified this lead, with JNE expected to confirm by mid-May ahead of the June 7 runoff. Disputes rage over the razor-thin second-place contest between Roberto Sánchez and Rafael López Aliaga, including unproven fraud claims, but Fujimori's position faces negligible risk barring unprecedented legal reversals or irregularities in the scant remaining ballots.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$2,553,263
Data di fine
12 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori's commanding trader consensus as first-round plurality winner in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election stems from ONPE tallies exceeding 99.7%—as of May 12—showing her at approximately 17%, well ahead of rivals in a fragmented 35-candidate field. Her conservative Fuerza Popular base consolidated support amid high abstention and null votes, echoing her strong pre-election polling despite three prior runner-up finishes. Recent Jurados Electorales Especiales proclamations and ongoing audits have solidified this lead, with JNE expected to confirm by mid-May ahead of the June 7 runoff. Disputes rage over the razor-thin second-place contest between Roberto Sánchez and Rafael López Aliaga, including unproven fraud claims, but Fujimori's position faces negligible risk barring unprecedented legal reversals or irregularities in the scant remaining ballots.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$2,553,263
Data di fine
12 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

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"Vincitore del primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 23 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Keiko Fujimori" a 99%, seguito da "Rafael López Aliaga" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 99¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 99% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore del primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù" ha generato $2.6 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 20, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore del primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù", esplora i 23 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore del primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù" è "Keiko Fujimori" a 99%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 99% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Rafael López Aliaga" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore del primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.