Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a clear advantage among Francophone voters, a key bloc that often decides outcomes in Quebec's first-past-the-post system, which underpins trader consensus favoring PQ at 58 percent. The Quebec Liberal Party trails at 28.5 percent in a neck-and-neck contest overall, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained modestly under new Premier Christine Fréchette, reaching 10 percent amid signs of stabilization after leadership change. Smaller parties including the Conservatives, Vert, and Québec solidaire register minimal support below 1 percent each. These dynamics reflect ongoing voter shifts six months before the October election, with PQ's regional strength and historical by-election gains providing the primary momentum reflected in current pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni generali del Quebec
Vincitore delle elezioni generali del Quebec
PQ 58%
PLQ 29%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$504,985 Vol.
$504,985 Vol.
5 ott 2026
PQ
58%
PLQ
29%
CAQ
10%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 58%
PLQ 29%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$504,985 Vol.
$504,985 Vol.
5 ott 2026
PQ
$52,323 Vol.
58%
PLQ
$56,068 Vol.
29%
CAQ
$59,477 Vol.
10%
PCQ
$164,004 Vol.
1%
PVQ
$114,822 Vol.
<1%
QS
$58,291 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a clear advantage among Francophone voters, a key bloc that often decides outcomes in Quebec's first-past-the-post system, which underpins trader consensus favoring PQ at 58 percent. The Quebec Liberal Party trails at 28.5 percent in a neck-and-neck contest overall, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained modestly under new Premier Christine Fréchette, reaching 10 percent amid signs of stabilization after leadership change. Smaller parties including the Conservatives, Vert, and Québec solidaire register minimal support below 1 percent each. These dynamics reflect ongoing voter shifts six months before the October election, with PQ's regional strength and historical by-election gains providing the primary momentum reflected in current pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercato aperto: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$504,985Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a clear advantage among Francophone voters, a key bloc that often decides outcomes in Quebec's first-past-the-post system, which underpins trader consensus favoring PQ at 58 percent. The Quebec Liberal Party trails at 28.5 percent in a neck-and-neck contest overall, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained modestly under new Premier Christine Fréchette, reaching 10 percent amid signs of stabilization after leadership change. Smaller parties including the Conservatives, Vert, and Québec solidaire register minimal support below 1 percent each. These dynamics reflect ongoing voter shifts six months before the October election, with PQ's regional strength and historical by-election gains providing the primary momentum reflected in current pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$504,985Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a clear advantage among Francophone voters, a key bloc that often decides outcomes in Quebec's first-past-the-post system, which underpins trader consensus favoring PQ at 58 percent. The Quebec Liberal Party trails at 28.5 percent in a neck-and-neck contest overall, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained modestly under new Premier Christine Fréchette, reaching 10 percent amid signs of stabilization after leadership change. Smaller parties including the Conservatives, Vert, and Québec solidaire register minimal support below 1 percent each. These dynamics reflect ongoing voter shifts six months before the October election, with PQ's regional strength and historical by-election gains providing the primary momentum reflected in current pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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