Recent Ukrainian proposals delivered to U.S. negotiators on August 11 have renewed focus on potential talks, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner expected to visit Kyiv and Moscow in the coming weeks. These steps follow months of stalled U.S.-mediated diplomacy that paused amid the Iran conflict, alongside earlier trilateral meetings in Geneva and limited ceasefires for holidays that failed to produce lasting agreements. Russia continues to rule out any freeze without addressing its core territorial and security demands, while Ukrainian public opinion shows strong opposition to territorial concessions but openness to security guarantees. Russian parliamentary elections next month could influence Moscow’s flexibility on mobilization and negotiation posture. Traders are assessing whether upcoming bilateral visits and Zelenskyy’s proposals can overcome entrenched differences on territory, NATO-related issues, and ceasefire terms before key resolution dates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$331,398 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 settembre
25%
31 dicembre
56%
$331,398 Vol.
30 settembre
$159,549 Vol.
25%
31 dicembre
$153,136 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Ukrainian proposals delivered to U.S. negotiators on August 11 have renewed focus on potential talks, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner expected to visit Kyiv and Moscow in the coming weeks. These steps follow months of stalled U.S.-mediated diplomacy that paused amid the Iran conflict, alongside earlier trilateral meetings in Geneva and limited ceasefires for holidays that failed to produce lasting agreements. Russia continues to rule out any freeze without addressing its core territorial and security demands, while Ukrainian public opinion shows strong opposition to territorial concessions but openness to security guarantees. Russian parliamentary elections next month could influence Moscow’s flexibility on mobilization and negotiation posture. Traders are assessing whether upcoming bilateral visits and Zelenskyy’s proposals can overcome entrenched differences on territory, NATO-related issues, and ceasefire terms before key resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Volume
$331,398Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Ukrainian proposals delivered to U.S. negotiators on August 11 have renewed focus on potential talks, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner expected to visit Kyiv and Moscow in the coming weeks. These steps follow months of stalled U.S.-mediated diplomacy that paused amid the Iran conflict, alongside earlier trilateral meetings in Geneva and limited ceasefires for holidays that failed to produce lasting agreements. Russia continues to rule out any freeze without addressing its core territorial and security demands, while Ukrainian public opinion shows strong opposition to territorial concessions but openness to security guarantees. Russian parliamentary elections next month could influence Moscow’s flexibility on mobilization and negotiation posture. Traders are assessing whether upcoming bilateral visits and Zelenskyy’s proposals can overcome entrenched differences on territory, NATO-related issues, and ceasefire terms before key resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$331,398Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Ukrainian proposals delivered to U.S. negotiators on August 11 have renewed focus on potential talks, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner expected to visit Kyiv and Moscow in the coming weeks. These steps follow months of stalled U.S.-mediated diplomacy that paused amid the Iran conflict, alongside earlier trilateral meetings in Geneva and limited ceasefires for holidays that failed to produce lasting agreements. Russia continues to rule out any freeze without addressing its core territorial and security demands, while Ukrainian public opinion shows strong opposition to territorial concessions but openness to security guarantees. Russian parliamentary elections next month could influence Moscow’s flexibility on mobilization and negotiation posture. Traders are assessing whether upcoming bilateral visits and Zelenskyy’s proposals can overcome entrenched differences on territory, NATO-related issues, and ceasefire terms before key resolution dates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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