Recent national polls through early June place President Trump’s job approval near second-term lows in the mid-to-high 30s, reflecting sustained economic pressures from the ongoing Iran conflict and weak public confidence in inflation management. A slight rebound from late May troughs has kept readings clustered around 36-40 percent across aggregators, creating tight trader expectations for the June 12 snapshot. With the two leading bins separated by just a few points, any final poll releases or last-minute economic data releases could shift the narrow consensus reflected in current market pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato38.5–38.9 51%
38.0–38.4 43%
39.0–39.4 11%
<38.0 3.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 giu 2026
<38.0
3%
38.0–38.4
43%
38.5–38.9
53%
39.0–39.4
13%
39.5–39.9
3%
40.0+
<1%
38.5–38.9 51%
38.0–38.4 43%
39.0–39.4 11%
<38.0 3.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 giu 2026
<38.0
$980 Vol.
3%
38.0–38.4
$1,182 Vol.
43%
38.5–38.9
$856 Vol.
53%
39.0–39.4
$1,350 Vol.
13%
39.5–39.9
$945 Vol.
3%
40.0+
$756 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls through early June place President Trump’s job approval near second-term lows in the mid-to-high 30s, reflecting sustained economic pressures from the ongoing Iran conflict and weak public confidence in inflation management. A slight rebound from late May troughs has kept readings clustered around 36-40 percent across aggregators, creating tight trader expectations for the June 12 snapshot. With the two leading bins separated by just a few points, any final poll releases or last-minute economic data releases could shift the narrow consensus reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Volume
$6,070Data di fine
12 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls through early June place President Trump’s job approval near second-term lows in the mid-to-high 30s, reflecting sustained economic pressures from the ongoing Iran conflict and weak public confidence in inflation management. A slight rebound from late May troughs has kept readings clustered around 36-40 percent across aggregators, creating tight trader expectations for the June 12 snapshot. With the two leading bins separated by just a few points, any final poll releases or last-minute economic data releases could shift the narrow consensus reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$6,070Data di fine
12 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polls through early June place President Trump’s job approval near second-term lows in the mid-to-high 30s, reflecting sustained economic pressures from the ongoing Iran conflict and weak public confidence in inflation management. A slight rebound from late May troughs has kept readings clustered around 36-40 percent across aggregators, creating tight trader expectations for the June 12 snapshot. With the two leading bins separated by just a few points, any final poll releases or last-minute economic data releases could shift the narrow consensus reflected in current market pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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