This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and June 30, 2026, PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside of 2025, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ukraine's constitution prohibits national elections during martial law, which has remained in effect since Russia's 2022 invasion and was most recently extended by parliament through August 2, 2026. President Zelenskyy has repeatedly stated that any vote requires a prior ceasefire and security guarantees to ensure safe participation by soldiers and civilians under ongoing missile threats. Recent parliamentary actions and Zelenskyy's comments at the Munich Security Conference have reinforced this stance, with no legislative changes yet enabling wartime balloting. Traders are therefore focused on the trajectory of peace negotiations and whether martial law extensions continue beyond summer, as these directly determine the earliest feasible timeline for presidential or parliamentary contests.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and June 30, 2026, PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and June 30, 2026, PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ukraine's constitution prohibits national elections during martial law, which has remained in effect since Russia's 2022 invasion and was most recently extended by parliament through August 2, 2026. President Zelenskyy has repeatedly stated that any vote requires a prior ceasefire and security guarantees to ensure safe participation by soldiers and civilians under ongoing missile threats. Recent parliamentary actions and Zelenskyy's comments at the Munich Security Conference have reinforced this stance, with no legislative changes yet enabling wartime balloting. Traders are therefore focused on the trajectory of peace negotiations and whether martial law extensions continue beyond summer, as these directly determine the earliest feasible timeline for presidential or parliamentary contests.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
May 8 2026
Orbán steps back after a landslide loss, vowing to rebuild Hungary’s ‘national side’
December 31, 2026 rises to 11%3%
Following a significant election loss in Hungary, Orbán announced he would not take his parliamentary seat, reflecting political shifts in the region but no Ukrainian election developments, sustaining market uncertainty about Ukraine’s 2025 elections.
Apr 12 2026
Hungary sets April 12 election date as Orbán faces tough challenge
December 31, 2026 dips to 19%1%
Hungary scheduled its parliamentary election for April 12, 2026, indicating regional political activity but no Ukrainian election scheduling, maintaining market doubts about Ukraine’s 2025 elections.
Mar 13 2026
Ukraine’s political instability and war conditions reduce election likelihood
June 30, 2026 dips to 7%4%
Continued Russian attacks on Ukraine’s infrastructure and ongoing war conditions, combined with political challenges including corruption scandals, kept the probability of elections within 2025 and mid-2026 low, reflected in market prices dropping to single digits.
Mar 1 2026
Ukraine’s Zelenskyy pursues more arms deals with allies against Russia
December 31, 2026 rises to 27%4%
Zelenskyy’s efforts to secure more arms amid ongoing Russian attacks and no election scheduling reinforced market skepticism about elections occurring in 2025.
Feb 14 2026
Trump administration's 28-point Ukraine-Russia peace plan presented to Zelenskyy
December 31, 2026 rises to 35%1%
The Trump administration presented a peace plan requiring Ukraine to hold elections after the war, but with significant concessions and no election scheduled within 2025, the market reacted with uncertainty about elections occurring in 2025.
Feb 13 2026
Zelenskyy says US security agreement for Ukraine is '100% ready' to be signed
December 31, 2026 rises to 35%4%
President Zelenskyy announced a US security guarantees document is ready for signing after talks involving Ukraine, US, and Russia, but no election scheduling was confirmed, maintaining market uncertainty about 2025 elections.
Feb 6 2026
Ukrainian delegation arrives in US for peace talks amid Russian attacks on energy sites
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%6%
A Ukrainian delegation led by President Zelenskyy's chief of staff arrived in the US to discuss peace agreement details, highlighting ongoing conflict and instability that likely delayed elections. This reinforced market doubts about elections occurring in 2025.
Feb 1 2026
U.S.-led peace talks continue without agreement on election timing
June 30, 2026 dips to 7%2%
Trilateral talks involving Ukraine, Russia, and the U.S. continued in early 2026 with discussions on security guarantees and ceasefire possibilities, but no agreement was reached on holding elections within 2025. This prolonged uncertainty contributed to further decline in market confidence for elections by June 30, 2026.
Jan 20 2026
Next round of Ukraine-Russia-U.S. peace talks scheduled for February in Abu Dhabi
June 30, 2026 dips to 8%1%
Peace talks were postponed to early February, with ongoing disagreements over territory and security guarantees, maintaining uncertainty over election timing and contributing to market price drops for June 30, 2026 outcome.
Jan 15 2026
Ukraine's political instability and war conditions reduce chances of 2025 elections
June 30, 2026 plunges to 9%15%
Political rivalries, corruption scandals, and ongoing war conditions continued to undermine prospects for elections within the market's resolution window, pushing prices to new lows.
Jan 8 2026
Russia intensifies drone and missile attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure
December 31, 2026 dips to 38%4%
Russia launched hundreds of drones and missiles targeting Ukraine's critical energy infrastructure, worsening humanitarian conditions and complicating prospects for elections within 2025, leading to market price declines for election outcomes.
Dec 28 2025
No official scheduling of Ukraine elections in 2025 amid war and political crisis
December 31, 2026 drops to 42%9%
Despite ongoing peace talks and diplomatic efforts, Ukraine did not officially schedule national elections within 2025. Political instability, including a $100 million corruption scandal implicating top officials, weakened President Zelenskyy’s position and further diminished prospects for elections in 2025.
Dec 15 2025
Ukraine's Zelenskyy appoints new chief of staff amid corruption scandal
December 31, 2026 jumps to 53%6%
President Zelenskyy appointed military intelligence head Kyrylo Budanov as chief of staff to focus on security and peace talks, reflecting internal political challenges and impacting market confidence in timely elections.
Dec 10 2025
Ukraine and U.S. negotiate peace plan including elections after war
December 31, 2026 drops to 42%6%
President Zelenskyy announced a 20-point peace plan negotiated with the U.S. that includes holding elections after the war ends, implying elections would not occur in 2025. This reduced market confidence in elections by June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
Dec 1 2025
Ukraine faces ongoing war and political pressure delaying elections
December 31, 2026 dips to 44%3%
Continued Russian attacks and internal political crises, including corruption scandals and leadership challenges, sustained uncertainty about election timing. This prolonged the market's downward trend on election likelihood within 2025.
Nov 21 2025
U.S.-led peace talks in Abu Dhabi involving Ukraine, Russia, and U.S. officials
December 31, 2026 jumps to 63%11%
Trilateral talks aimed at ending the war included discussions on ceasefire and security guarantees, but no agreement on elections timing was reached, contributing to market uncertainty and price volatility for December 31, 2026 outcome.
Nov 20 2025
Ukraine’s President Zelenskyy faces mounting pressure amid corruption scandal
December 31, 2026 drops to 47%7%
President Zelenskyy struggled to contain fallout from a $100 million corruption scandal implicating top officials, weakening political stability and reducing confidence in holding elections in 2025. This contributed to further price declines for election outcomes in 2025.
Nov 13 2025
Ukraine President Zelenskyy discusses peace plan including elections after war
December 31, 2026 dips to 47%4%
Zelenskyy outlined a 20-point peace plan with the U.S. that includes holding elections after the war ends, indicating elections would not occur during 2025. This reinforced market expectations that elections would be delayed beyond the market's resolution window, lowering prices for both outcomes.
Sep 24 2025
Ukraine's presidential and parliamentary elections postponed due to martial law
June 30, 2026 plunges to 28%23%
Martial law in Ukraine, triggered by Russia's invasion, indefinitely postponed national elections originally scheduled for spring 2024, casting doubt on elections occurring within 2025 and affecting market prices for June 30, 2026 outcome.
Sep 24 2025
Ukraine's former army chief reveals rift with President Zelenskyy amid war and political tensions
June 30, 2026 plunges to 28%23%
Valerii Zaluzhnyi, Ukraine's ex-army chief and potential political rival to Zelenskyy, publicly disclosed tensions and a political rift, highlighting internal instability. This raised doubts about Ukraine's political cohesion and the likelihood of elections during ongoing conflict, impacting market prices for June 30, 2026.
Sep 24 2025
Ukraine’s ex-army chief reveals rift with President Zelenskyy amid war
June 30, 2026 plunges to 28%23%
Valerii Zaluzhnyi, Ukraine’s former army chief and political rival to President Zelenskyy, publicly disclosed tensions and a political rift, signaling internal instability during wartime. This raised doubts about the government's ability to hold elections in 2025, impacting market prices for June 30, 2026 outcome.
Sep 24 2025
Ukraine faces ongoing war and martial law postponing elections
June 30, 2026 plunges to 24%27%
Martial law in Ukraine indefinitely postponed presidential and parliamentary elections originally scheduled for spring 2024, making elections within 2025 unlikely. This legal and security context significantly reduced market confidence in elections occurring by June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and June 30, 2026, PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside of 2025, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ukraine's constitution prohibits national elections during martial law, which has remained in effect since Russia's 2022 invasion and was most recently extended by parliament through August 2, 2026. President Zelenskyy has repeatedly stated that any vote requires a prior ceasefire and security guarantees to ensure safe participation by soldiers and civilians under ongoing missile threats. Recent parliamentary actions and Zelenskyy's comments at the Munich Security Conference have reinforced this stance, with no legislative changes yet enabling wartime balloting. Traders are therefore focused on the trajectory of peace negotiations and whether martial law extensions continue beyond summer, as these directly determine the earliest feasible timeline for presidential or parliamentary contests.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and June 30, 2026, PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and June 30, 2026, PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ukraine's constitution prohibits national elections during martial law, which has remained in effect since Russia's 2022 invasion and was most recently extended by parliament through August 2, 2026. President Zelenskyy has repeatedly stated that any vote requires a prior ceasefire and security guarantees to ensure safe participation by soldiers and civilians under ongoing missile threats. Recent parliamentary actions and Zelenskyy's comments at the Munich Security Conference have reinforced this stance, with no legislative changes yet enabling wartime balloting. Traders are therefore focused on the trajectory of peace negotiations and whether martial law extensions continue beyond summer, as these directly determine the earliest feasible timeline for presidential or parliamentary contests.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
May 8 2026
Orbán steps back after a landslide loss, vowing to rebuild Hungary’s ‘national side’
December 31, 2026 rises to 11%3%
Following a significant election loss in Hungary, Orbán announced he would not take his parliamentary seat, reflecting political shifts in the region but no Ukrainian election developments, sustaining market uncertainty about Ukraine’s 2025 elections.
Apr 12 2026
Hungary sets April 12 election date as Orbán faces tough challenge
December 31, 2026 dips to 19%1%
Hungary scheduled its parliamentary election for April 12, 2026, indicating regional political activity but no Ukrainian election scheduling, maintaining market doubts about Ukraine’s 2025 elections.
Mar 13 2026
Ukraine’s political instability and war conditions reduce election likelihood
June 30, 2026 dips to 7%4%
Continued Russian attacks on Ukraine’s infrastructure and ongoing war conditions, combined with political challenges including corruption scandals, kept the probability of elections within 2025 and mid-2026 low, reflected in market prices dropping to single digits.
Mar 1 2026
Ukraine’s Zelenskyy pursues more arms deals with allies against Russia
December 31, 2026 rises to 27%4%
Zelenskyy’s efforts to secure more arms amid ongoing Russian attacks and no election scheduling reinforced market skepticism about elections occurring in 2025.
Feb 14 2026
Trump administration's 28-point Ukraine-Russia peace plan presented to Zelenskyy
December 31, 2026 rises to 35%1%
The Trump administration presented a peace plan requiring Ukraine to hold elections after the war, but with significant concessions and no election scheduled within 2025, the market reacted with uncertainty about elections occurring in 2025.
Feb 13 2026
Zelenskyy says US security agreement for Ukraine is '100% ready' to be signed
December 31, 2026 rises to 35%4%
President Zelenskyy announced a US security guarantees document is ready for signing after talks involving Ukraine, US, and Russia, but no election scheduling was confirmed, maintaining market uncertainty about 2025 elections.
Feb 6 2026
Ukrainian delegation arrives in US for peace talks amid Russian attacks on energy sites
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%6%
A Ukrainian delegation led by President Zelenskyy's chief of staff arrived in the US to discuss peace agreement details, highlighting ongoing conflict and instability that likely delayed elections. This reinforced market doubts about elections occurring in 2025.
Feb 1 2026
U.S.-led peace talks continue without agreement on election timing
June 30, 2026 dips to 7%2%
Trilateral talks involving Ukraine, Russia, and the U.S. continued in early 2026 with discussions on security guarantees and ceasefire possibilities, but no agreement was reached on holding elections within 2025. This prolonged uncertainty contributed to further decline in market confidence for elections by June 30, 2026.
Jan 20 2026
Next round of Ukraine-Russia-U.S. peace talks scheduled for February in Abu Dhabi
June 30, 2026 dips to 8%1%
Peace talks were postponed to early February, with ongoing disagreements over territory and security guarantees, maintaining uncertainty over election timing and contributing to market price drops for June 30, 2026 outcome.
Jan 15 2026
Ukraine's political instability and war conditions reduce chances of 2025 elections
June 30, 2026 plunges to 9%15%
Political rivalries, corruption scandals, and ongoing war conditions continued to undermine prospects for elections within the market's resolution window, pushing prices to new lows.
Jan 8 2026
Russia intensifies drone and missile attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure
December 31, 2026 dips to 38%4%
Russia launched hundreds of drones and missiles targeting Ukraine's critical energy infrastructure, worsening humanitarian conditions and complicating prospects for elections within 2025, leading to market price declines for election outcomes.
Dec 28 2025
No official scheduling of Ukraine elections in 2025 amid war and political crisis
December 31, 2026 drops to 42%9%
Despite ongoing peace talks and diplomatic efforts, Ukraine did not officially schedule national elections within 2025. Political instability, including a $100 million corruption scandal implicating top officials, weakened President Zelenskyy’s position and further diminished prospects for elections in 2025.
Dec 15 2025
Ukraine's Zelenskyy appoints new chief of staff amid corruption scandal
December 31, 2026 jumps to 53%6%
President Zelenskyy appointed military intelligence head Kyrylo Budanov as chief of staff to focus on security and peace talks, reflecting internal political challenges and impacting market confidence in timely elections.
Dec 10 2025
Ukraine and U.S. negotiate peace plan including elections after war
December 31, 2026 drops to 42%6%
President Zelenskyy announced a 20-point peace plan negotiated with the U.S. that includes holding elections after the war ends, implying elections would not occur in 2025. This reduced market confidence in elections by June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
Dec 1 2025
Ukraine faces ongoing war and political pressure delaying elections
December 31, 2026 dips to 44%3%
Continued Russian attacks and internal political crises, including corruption scandals and leadership challenges, sustained uncertainty about election timing. This prolonged the market's downward trend on election likelihood within 2025.
Nov 21 2025
U.S.-led peace talks in Abu Dhabi involving Ukraine, Russia, and U.S. officials
December 31, 2026 jumps to 63%11%
Trilateral talks aimed at ending the war included discussions on ceasefire and security guarantees, but no agreement on elections timing was reached, contributing to market uncertainty and price volatility for December 31, 2026 outcome.
Nov 20 2025
Ukraine’s President Zelenskyy faces mounting pressure amid corruption scandal
December 31, 2026 drops to 47%7%
President Zelenskyy struggled to contain fallout from a $100 million corruption scandal implicating top officials, weakening political stability and reducing confidence in holding elections in 2025. This contributed to further price declines for election outcomes in 2025.
Nov 13 2025
Ukraine President Zelenskyy discusses peace plan including elections after war
December 31, 2026 dips to 47%4%
Zelenskyy outlined a 20-point peace plan with the U.S. that includes holding elections after the war ends, indicating elections would not occur during 2025. This reinforced market expectations that elections would be delayed beyond the market's resolution window, lowering prices for both outcomes.
Sep 24 2025
Ukraine's presidential and parliamentary elections postponed due to martial law
June 30, 2026 plunges to 28%23%
Martial law in Ukraine, triggered by Russia's invasion, indefinitely postponed national elections originally scheduled for spring 2024, casting doubt on elections occurring within 2025 and affecting market prices for June 30, 2026 outcome.
Sep 24 2025
Ukraine's former army chief reveals rift with President Zelenskyy amid war and political tensions
June 30, 2026 plunges to 28%23%
Valerii Zaluzhnyi, Ukraine's ex-army chief and potential political rival to Zelenskyy, publicly disclosed tensions and a political rift, highlighting internal instability. This raised doubts about Ukraine's political cohesion and the likelihood of elections during ongoing conflict, impacting market prices for June 30, 2026.
Sep 24 2025
Ukraine’s ex-army chief reveals rift with President Zelenskyy amid war
June 30, 2026 plunges to 28%23%
Valerii Zaluzhnyi, Ukraine’s former army chief and political rival to President Zelenskyy, publicly disclosed tensions and a political rift, signaling internal instability during wartime. This raised doubts about the government's ability to hold elections in 2025, impacting market prices for June 30, 2026 outcome.
Sep 24 2025
Ukraine faces ongoing war and martial law postponing elections
June 30, 2026 plunges to 24%27%
Martial law in Ukraine indefinitely postponed presidential and parliamentary elections originally scheduled for spring 2024, making elections within 2025 unlikely. This legal and security context significantly reduced market confidence in elections occurring by June 30, 2026.
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Domande frequenti
"Elezioni in Ucraina tenute da...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "31 dicembre 2026" a 11%, seguito da "30 giugno 2026" a 2%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 11¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 11% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.
Ad oggi, "Elezioni in Ucraina tenute da...?" ha generato $2.4 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 14, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.
Per fare trading su "Elezioni in Ucraina tenute da...?", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.
L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni in Ucraina tenute da...?" è "31 dicembre 2026" a 11%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 11% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "30 giugno 2026" a 2%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.
Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni in Ucraina tenute da...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.
Sì. Non è necessario fare trading per restare informati. Questa pagina funziona come un tracker live per "Elezioni in Ucraina tenute da...?". Le probabilità degli esiti si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che arrivano nuove operazioni. Puoi aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti e controllare la sezione commenti per vedere cosa dicono gli altri trader. Puoi anche usare i filtri temporali sul grafico per vedere come sono cambiate le quote nel tempo. È una finestra gratuita e in tempo reale su ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.
Le quote di Polymarket sono stabilite da veri trader che investono denaro reale nelle loro convinzioni, il che tende a produrre previsioni accurate. Con $2.4 million scambiati su "Elezioni in Ucraina tenute da...?", questi prezzi aggregano la conoscenza collettiva e la convinzione di migliaia di partecipanti — spesso superando sondaggi, previsioni di esperti e indagini tradizionali. I mercati predittivi come Polymarket hanno un forte track record di accuratezza, specialmente man mano che gli eventi si avvicinano alla data di risoluzione. Ad esempio, Polymarket ha un punteggio di accuratezza a un mese di 94%. Per le ultime statistiche sull'accuratezza delle previsioni di Polymarket, visita la pagina accuratezza su Polymarket.
Per piazzare la tua prima operazione su "Elezioni in Ucraina tenute da...?", registrati per un account Polymarket gratuito e finanzialo con crypto, carta di credito o debito, o bonifico bancario. Una volta finanziato il tuo account, torna su questa pagina, seleziona l'esito su cui vuoi fare trading, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se sei nuovo ai mercati predittivi, clicca il link "Come funziona" in cima a qualsiasi pagina Polymarket per una guida passo-passo su come funziona il trading.
Su Polymarket, il prezzo di ogni esito rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Un prezzo di 11¢ per "31 dicembre 2026" nel mercato "Elezioni in Ucraina tenute da...?" significa che i trader credono collettivamente che ci sia circa una probabilità di 11% che "31 dicembre 2026" sia il risultato corretto. Se compri azioni "Sì" a 11¢ e l'esito è corretto, ricevi $1,00 per azione — un profitto di 89¢ per azione. Se errato, quelle azioni valgono $0.
La data di fine programmata del mercato "Elezioni in Ucraina tenute da...?" è trascorsa, ma il mercato non è stato ancora ufficialmente risolto. La data di fine indica quando ci si aspetta che l'evento sottostante si verifichi o diventi conoscibile. Non è il momento in cui il trading si ferma. Il mercato rimane aperto al trading fino a quando l'esito non viene formalmente risolto attraverso il processo di risoluzione. Puoi ancora comprare, vendere o chiudere la tua posizione mentre il mercato è in attesa di risoluzione. Controlla il tracker dello stato di risoluzione e la sezione "Regole" su questa pagina per aggiornamenti sulla tempistica di risoluzione.
Il mercato "Elezioni in Ucraina tenute da...?" ha una comunità attiva di 51 commenti dove i trader condividono le loro analisi, discutono gli esiti e commentano gli sviluppi dell'ultima ora. Scorri in basso alla sezione commenti per leggere cosa pensano gli altri partecipanti. Puoi anche filtrare per "Maggiori detentori" per vedere su cosa sono posizionati i più grandi trader del mercato, o controllare la scheda "Attività" per un feed in tempo reale delle operazioni.
Polymarket è il più grande mercato predittivo al mondo, dove puoi restare informato e trarre profitto dalla tua conoscenza di eventi reali. I trader comprano e vendono azioni sugli esiti per argomenti che spaziano dalla politica e le elezioni alle crypto, finanza, sport, tecnologia e cultura, inclusi mercati come "Elezioni in Ucraina tenute da...?". I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale supportate da convinzione finanziaria, fornendo spesso segnali più rapidi e accurati di sondaggi, opinionisti o indagini tradizionali.
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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti