Ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran and Hezbollah operations in Lebanon, continue to shape assessments of U.S. diplomatic posture in Beirut. A February 2026 partial drawdown of non-essential embassy staff and family members followed State Department orders amid anticipated escalations, while April and August 2026 alerts urged U.S. citizens to depart and highlighted risks of unforeseen attacks or rapid changes in the security environment. These steps reflect standard precautionary measures during periods of volatility without indicating full embassy closure. Key variables for traders include any further official drawdown orders, shifts in U.S.-Iran or Israel-Hezbollah dynamics, and scheduled diplomatic or military developments that could either sustain or ease pressures on American personnel in Lebanon.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGli Stati Uniti evacuano l'ambasciata di Beirut entro...?
Gli Stati Uniti evacuano l'ambasciata di Beirut entro...?
$117,779 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre
4%
$117,779 Vol.
31 dicembre
$23,677 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran and Hezbollah operations in Lebanon, continue to shape assessments of U.S. diplomatic posture in Beirut. A February 2026 partial drawdown of non-essential embassy staff and family members followed State Department orders amid anticipated escalations, while April and August 2026 alerts urged U.S. citizens to depart and highlighted risks of unforeseen attacks or rapid changes in the security environment. These steps reflect standard precautionary measures during periods of volatility without indicating full embassy closure. Key variables for traders include any further official drawdown orders, shifts in U.S.-Iran or Israel-Hezbollah dynamics, and scheduled diplomatic or military developments that could either sustain or ease pressures on American personnel in Lebanon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$117,779Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran and Hezbollah operations in Lebanon, continue to shape assessments of U.S. diplomatic posture in Beirut. A February 2026 partial drawdown of non-essential embassy staff and family members followed State Department orders amid anticipated escalations, while April and August 2026 alerts urged U.S. citizens to depart and highlighted risks of unforeseen attacks or rapid changes in the security environment. These steps reflect standard precautionary measures during periods of volatility without indicating full embassy closure. Key variables for traders include any further official drawdown orders, shifts in U.S.-Iran or Israel-Hezbollah dynamics, and scheduled diplomatic or military developments that could either sustain or ease pressures on American personnel in Lebanon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$117,779Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran and Hezbollah operations in Lebanon, continue to shape assessments of U.S. diplomatic posture in Beirut. A February 2026 partial drawdown of non-essential embassy staff and family members followed State Department orders amid anticipated escalations, while April and August 2026 alerts urged U.S. citizens to depart and highlighted risks of unforeseen attacks or rapid changes in the security environment. These steps reflect standard precautionary measures during periods of volatility without indicating full embassy closure. Key variables for traders include any further official drawdown orders, shifts in U.S.-Iran or Israel-Hezbollah dynamics, and scheduled diplomatic or military developments that could either sustain or ease pressures on American personnel in Lebanon.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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