Recent polling has positioned center-left candidate Andrea Martella as the clear frontrunner in the Venice mayoral race, with surveys such as the early May Tecnè poll showing him ahead of center-right challenger Simone Venturini among decided voters and substantial undecided support potentially consolidating in his favor. This dynamic explains the current trader consensus reflected in the 84% implied probability for Martella, as the election approaches its first round on May 24-25, 2026, with a possible runoff on June 7-8. Venturini, backed by the coalition that held the mayoralty for more than a decade, trails amid efforts to appeal to key demographics including diaspora communities, while minor candidates such as Michele Boldrin register negligible support and limited impact on the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVenice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Andrea Martella 84%
Simone Venturini 16%
Michele Boldrin <1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
$125,005 Vol.
$125,005 Vol.
Andrea Martella
84%
Simone Venturini
16%
Michele Boldrin
<1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Andrea Martella 84%
Simone Venturini 16%
Michele Boldrin <1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
$125,005 Vol.
$125,005 Vol.
Andrea Martella
84%
Simone Venturini
16%
Michele Boldrin
<1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Mercato aperto: Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling has positioned center-left candidate Andrea Martella as the clear frontrunner in the Venice mayoral race, with surveys such as the early May Tecnè poll showing him ahead of center-right challenger Simone Venturini among decided voters and substantial undecided support potentially consolidating in his favor. This dynamic explains the current trader consensus reflected in the 84% implied probability for Martella, as the election approaches its first round on May 24-25, 2026, with a possible runoff on June 7-8. Venturini, backed by the coalition that held the mayoralty for more than a decade, trails amid efforts to appeal to key demographics including diaspora communities, while minor candidates such as Michele Boldrin register negligible support and limited impact on the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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