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Elezioni·Primarie

Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-04

icon for Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-04
Elezioni·Primarie

Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-04

Laura Gillen 85%

Nicholas Sciretta 11%

Taylor Darling 5.0%

Gian Jones <1%

Polymarket

$18,925 Vol.

Laura Gillen 85%

Nicholas Sciretta 11%

Taylor Darling 5.0%

Gian Jones <1%

Polymarket

$18,925 Vol.

Laura Gillen

$6,360 Vol.

85%

Nicholas Sciretta

$8,783 Vol.

11%

Taylor Darling

$2,126 Vol.

5%

Gian Jones

$1,656 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Laura Gillen maintains a commanding lead in the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 4th congressional district, reflecting her substantial fundraising advantage and party establishment backing after crossing party lines in January 2026 on Department of Homeland Security funding that included Immigration and Customs Enforcement appropriations. That vote prompted challenges from former state Assembly member Taylor Darling and lesser-known candidates Nicholas Sciretta and Gian Jones, who positioned themselves as more progressive alternatives on immigration issues. Gillen’s edge stems from over $2 million in receipts and $1.5 million cash on hand compared with each rival’s under $30,000, plus an endorsement from Nassau County Democratic leader Jay Jacobs. With no public polls available and a closed primary favoring low-turnout incumbents, the divided challenger field has reinforced trader consensus around her structural advantages ahead of primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,925
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Laura Gillen maintains a commanding lead in the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 4th congressional district, reflecting her substantial fundraising advantage and party establishment backing after crossing party lines in January 2026 on Department of Homeland Security funding that included Immigration and Customs Enforcement appropriations. That vote prompted challenges from former state Assembly member Taylor Darling and lesser-known candidates Nicholas Sciretta and Gian Jones, who positioned themselves as more progressive alternatives on immigration issues. Gillen’s edge stems from over $2 million in receipts and $1.5 million cash on hand compared with each rival’s under $30,000, plus an endorsement from Nassau County Democratic leader Jay Jacobs. With no public polls available and a closed primary favoring low-turnout incumbents, the divided challenger field has reinforced trader consensus around her structural advantages ahead of primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,925
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-04" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Laura Gillen" a 85%, seguito da "Nicholas Sciretta" a 11%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 85¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 85% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-04" ha generato $18.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 1, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-04", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-04" è "Laura Gillen" a 85%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 85% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Nicholas Sciretta" a 11%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-04" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.