The Trump-Xi summit in Beijing concluded on May 15 with no hug observed between the leaders, cementing trader consensus at 100% "No" as extensive live coverage—spanning the Great Hall welcome ceremony, bilateral talks, and Zhongnanhai garden tour—captured only handshakes, arm taps, and formal protocol. Chinese diplomatic norms prioritize restraint over Western-style embraces, consistent with prior Trump-Xi meetings during his first term. Trump's pre-summit prediction of a "big fat hug" went unfulfilled amid high-stakes discussions on trade, Iran, and Taiwan. With global media saturation confirming the absence, traders dismiss revision risks, though theoretically, unreleased private footage could prompt debate over resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$185,119 Vol.
$185,119 Vol.
15 mag 2026
$185,119 Vol.
$185,119 Vol.
15 mag 2026
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.The Trump-Xi summit in Beijing concluded on May 15 with no hug observed between the leaders, cementing trader consensus at 100% "No" as extensive live coverage—spanning the Great Hall welcome ceremony, bilateral talks, and Zhongnanhai garden tour—captured only handshakes, arm taps, and formal protocol. Chinese diplomatic norms prioritize restraint over Western-style embraces, consistent with prior Trump-Xi meetings during his first term. Trump's pre-summit prediction of a "big fat hug" went unfulfilled amid high-stakes discussions on trade, Iran, and Taiwan. With global media saturation confirming the absence, traders dismiss revision risks, though theoretically, unreleased private footage could prompt debate over resolution criteria.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$185,119Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.The Trump-Xi summit in Beijing concluded on May 15 with no hug observed between the leaders, cementing trader consensus at 100% "No" as extensive live coverage—spanning the Great Hall welcome ceremony, bilateral talks, and Zhongnanhai garden tour—captured only handshakes, arm taps, and formal protocol. Chinese diplomatic norms prioritize restraint over Western-style embraces, consistent with prior Trump-Xi meetings during his first term. Trump's pre-summit prediction of a "big fat hug" went unfulfilled amid high-stakes discussions on trade, Iran, and Taiwan. With global media saturation confirming the absence, traders dismiss revision risks, though theoretically, unreleased private footage could prompt debate over resolution criteria.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Volume
$185,119Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The Trump-Xi summit in Beijing concluded on May 15 with no hug observed between the leaders, cementing trader consensus at 100% "No" as extensive live coverage—spanning the Great Hall welcome ceremony, bilateral talks, and Zhongnanhai garden tour—captured only handshakes, arm taps, and formal protocol. Chinese diplomatic norms prioritize restraint over Western-style embraces, consistent with prior Trump-Xi meetings during his first term. Trump's pre-summit prediction of a "big fat hug" went unfulfilled amid high-stakes discussions on trade, Iran, and Taiwan. With global media saturation confirming the absence, traders dismiss revision risks, though theoretically, unreleased private footage could prompt debate over resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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