The current trader consensus of an 84% probability against another federal charge against a Trump political opponent by May 31 stems from recent Department of Justice setbacks in securing indictments. Grand juries have rejected multiple proposed charges against Democratic lawmakers over military-related claims, and earlier cases against figures such as former FBI Director James Comey have faced dismissals or appeals. President Trump's May 7 call for incitement charges against House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has not produced formal action within the narrow remaining window, leading market participants to assess limited near-term momentum despite ongoing administration priorities on perceived opponents.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/05/31
新規
新規
2026/05/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The current trader consensus of an 84% probability against another federal charge against a Trump political opponent by May 31 stems from recent Department of Justice setbacks in securing indictments. Grand juries have rejected multiple proposed charges against Democratic lawmakers over military-related claims, and earlier cases against figures such as former FBI Director James Comey have faced dismissals or appeals. President Trump's May 7 call for incitement charges against House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has not produced formal action within the narrow remaining window, leading market participants to assess limited near-term momentum despite ongoing administration priorities on perceived opponents.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 28, 2026, 10:37 PM ET
音量
$8,708終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 10:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The current trader consensus of an 84% probability against another federal charge against a Trump political opponent by May 31 stems from recent Department of Justice setbacks in securing indictments. Grand juries have rejected multiple proposed charges against Democratic lawmakers over military-related claims, and earlier cases against figures such as former FBI Director James Comey have faced dismissals or appeals. President Trump's May 7 call for incitement charges against House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has not produced formal action within the narrow remaining window, leading market participants to assess limited near-term momentum despite ongoing administration priorities on perceived opponents.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$8,708終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 10:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The current trader consensus of an 84% probability against another federal charge against a Trump political opponent by May 31 stems from recent Department of Justice setbacks in securing indictments. Grand juries have rejected multiple proposed charges against Democratic lawmakers over military-related claims, and earlier cases against figures such as former FBI Director James Comey have faced dismissals or appeals. President Trump's May 7 call for incitement charges against House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has not produced formal action within the narrow remaining window, leading market participants to assess limited near-term momentum despite ongoing administration priorities on perceived opponents.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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