Argentina's April monthly inflation rate slowed to 2.6 percent from 3.4 percent in March, marking the first deceleration in eleven months and aligning closely with economist forecasts of 2.5 percent. This outcome, driven by lower core CPI at 2.3 percent and moderated gains in regulated prices despite fuel and transport pressures, has reinforced trader expectations for continued disinflation in May amid the central bank's steady monetary policy and fiscal balance. The 2.2–2.4 percent range now commands the highest implied probability at 66.5 percent, reflecting consensus around a gradual decline toward the 30.5 percent year-end annual target. Market participants are closely watching the June INDEC release for confirmation of this trajectory, with any upside surprises in seasonal or energy components potentially shifting odds toward the 2.5–2.7 percent band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2.2–2.4% 61%
2.1％以下 23%
2.5–2.7% 18%
2.8–3.0% 12%
$46,634 Vol.
$46,634 Vol.
2026/06/11
2.1％以下
23%
2.2–2.4%
61%
2.5–2.7%
18%
2.8–3.0%
12%
3.1–3.3%
6%
3.4–3.6%
6%
3.7–3.9%
5%
4.0%+
3%
2.2–2.4% 61%
2.1％以下 23%
2.5–2.7% 18%
2.8–3.0% 12%
$46,634 Vol.
$46,634 Vol.
2026/06/11
2.1％以下
$415 Vol.
23%
2.2–2.4%
$46,084 Vol.
61%
2.5–2.7%
$0 Vol.
18%
2.8–3.0%
$50 Vol.
12%
3.1–3.3%
$0 Vol.
6%
3.4–3.6%
$1 Vol.
6%
3.7–3.9%
$20 Vol.
5%
4.0%+
$63 Vol.
3%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's April monthly inflation rate slowed to 2.6 percent from 3.4 percent in March, marking the first deceleration in eleven months and aligning closely with economist forecasts of 2.5 percent. This outcome, driven by lower core CPI at 2.3 percent and moderated gains in regulated prices despite fuel and transport pressures, has reinforced trader expectations for continued disinflation in May amid the central bank's steady monetary policy and fiscal balance. The 2.2–2.4 percent range now commands the highest implied probability at 66.5 percent, reflecting consensus around a gradual decline toward the 30.5 percent year-end annual target. Market participants are closely watching the June INDEC release for confirmation of this trajectory, with any upside surprises in seasonal or energy components potentially shifting odds toward the 2.5–2.7 percent band.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
音量
$46,634終了日
2026/06/11マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's April monthly inflation rate slowed to 2.6 percent from 3.4 percent in March, marking the first deceleration in eleven months and aligning closely with economist forecasts of 2.5 percent. This outcome, driven by lower core CPI at 2.3 percent and moderated gains in regulated prices despite fuel and transport pressures, has reinforced trader expectations for continued disinflation in May amid the central bank's steady monetary policy and fiscal balance. The 2.2–2.4 percent range now commands the highest implied probability at 66.5 percent, reflecting consensus around a gradual decline toward the 30.5 percent year-end annual target. Market participants are closely watching the June INDEC release for confirmation of this trajectory, with any upside surprises in seasonal or energy components potentially shifting odds toward the 2.5–2.7 percent band.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$46,634終了日
2026/06/11マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's April monthly inflation rate slowed to 2.6 percent from 3.4 percent in March, marking the first deceleration in eleven months and aligning closely with economist forecasts of 2.5 percent. This outcome, driven by lower core CPI at 2.3 percent and moderated gains in regulated prices despite fuel and transport pressures, has reinforced trader expectations for continued disinflation in May amid the central bank's steady monetary policy and fiscal balance. The 2.2–2.4 percent range now commands the highest implied probability at 66.5 percent, reflecting consensus around a gradual decline toward the 30.5 percent year-end annual target. Market participants are closely watching the June INDEC release for confirmation of this trajectory, with any upside surprises in seasonal or energy components potentially shifting odds toward the 2.5–2.7 percent band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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