Arizona's 5th congressional district, an open seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10, leans strongly Republican based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Representative Andy Biggs is not seeking re-election and instead running for governor, leaving the race to July 21 primaries where Republican Mark Lamb holds a substantial polling lead over Daniel Keenan following a Trump endorsement. Democratic candidates Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee are competing in their primary with limited visibility in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. These structural factors and the absence of competitive general-election polling sustain the market's 81% implied probability for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AZ-05 House Election Winner
AZ-05 House Election Winner
$17,068 Vol.
$17,068 Vol.
2026/11/03
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
12%
$17,068 Vol.
$17,068 Vol.
2026/11/03
Republican Party
$12,247 Vol.
89%
Democratic Party
$4,821 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district, an open seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10, leans strongly Republican based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Representative Andy Biggs is not seeking re-election and instead running for governor, leaving the race to July 21 primaries where Republican Mark Lamb holds a substantial polling lead over Daniel Keenan following a Trump endorsement. Democratic candidates Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee are competing in their primary with limited visibility in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. These structural factors and the absence of competitive general-election polling sustain the market's 81% implied probability for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$17,068終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district, an open seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10, leans strongly Republican based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Representative Andy Biggs is not seeking re-election and instead running for governor, leaving the race to July 21 primaries where Republican Mark Lamb holds a substantial polling lead over Daniel Keenan following a Trump endorsement. Democratic candidates Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee are competing in their primary with limited visibility in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. These structural factors and the absence of competitive general-election polling sustain the market's 81% implied probability for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,068終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 5th congressional district, an open seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10, leans strongly Republican based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Representative Andy Biggs is not seeking re-election and instead running for governor, leaving the race to July 21 primaries where Republican Mark Lamb holds a substantial polling lead over Daniel Keenan following a Trump endorsement. Democratic candidates Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee are competing in their primary with limited visibility in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. These structural factors and the absence of competitive general-election polling sustain the market's 81% implied probability for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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