Arizona's 5th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat in the East Valley suburbs, where the incumbent Andy Biggs's retirement to pursue the 2026 gubernatorial race opened the nomination. The July 21, 2026, Republican primary settled on former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb as nominee after he defeated challenger Daniel Keenan. Democrats nominated Elizabeth Lee in their concurrent primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the district's voting patterns, turnout dynamics, and historical margins continue to favor the Republican candidate in the eyes of traders, keeping the implied probability of a GOP victory well above 80 percent. No major shifts from polling, endorsements, or campaign events have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,678 Vol.
$24,678 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
88%
民主党
14%
$24,678 Vol.
$24,678 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$17,002 Vol.
88%
民主党
$7,676 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat in the East Valley suburbs, where the incumbent Andy Biggs's retirement to pursue the 2026 gubernatorial race opened the nomination. The July 21, 2026, Republican primary settled on former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb as nominee after he defeated challenger Daniel Keenan. Democrats nominated Elizabeth Lee in their concurrent primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the district's voting patterns, turnout dynamics, and historical margins continue to favor the Republican candidate in the eyes of traders, keeping the implied probability of a GOP victory well above 80 percent. No major shifts from polling, endorsements, or campaign events have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$24,678終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat in the East Valley suburbs, where the incumbent Andy Biggs's retirement to pursue the 2026 gubernatorial race opened the nomination. The July 21, 2026, Republican primary settled on former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb as nominee after he defeated challenger Daniel Keenan. Democrats nominated Elizabeth Lee in their concurrent primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the district's voting patterns, turnout dynamics, and historical margins continue to favor the Republican candidate in the eyes of traders, keeping the implied probability of a GOP victory well above 80 percent. No major shifts from polling, endorsements, or campaign events have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,678終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 5th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat in the East Valley suburbs, where the incumbent Andy Biggs's retirement to pursue the 2026 gubernatorial race opened the nomination. The July 21, 2026, Republican primary settled on former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb as nominee after he defeated challenger Daniel Keenan. Democrats nominated Elizabeth Lee in their concurrent primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the district's voting patterns, turnout dynamics, and historical margins continue to favor the Republican candidate in the eyes of traders, keeping the implied probability of a GOP victory well above 80 percent. No major shifts from polling, endorsements, or campaign events have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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