The Bank of England's June 18 meeting carries an 85% market-implied probability of no change to the 3.75% Bank Rate, driven by the Monetary Policy Committee's 8-1 hold decision in late April and persistent inflation at 3.3% year-over-year. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy prices, pushing up fuel and utility costs while wage growth has slowed to a five-year low, tempering broader price pressures. Traders assign 14.5% odds to a 25 basis point hike, reflecting Governor Bailey's caution on inflation risks exceeding 3.5% by year-end and potential upside surprises in upcoming April CPI and May labor data. Negligible probabilities for cuts underscore the BoE's data-dependent stance, with monetary policy expected to remain responsive to energy volatility rather than pre-committed to easing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日変更なし 85%
25ベーシスポイントの引き上げ 15%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利上げ <1%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ <1%
$146,433 Vol.
$146,433 Vol.
2026/06/18
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ
<1%
25ベーシスポイントの引き下げ
<1%
変更なし
85%
25ベーシスポイントの引き上げ
15%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利上げ
1%
変更なし 85%
25ベーシスポイントの引き上げ 15%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利上げ <1%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ <1%
$146,433 Vol.
$146,433 Vol.
2026/06/18
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ
$24,993 Vol.
<1%
25ベーシスポイントの引き下げ
$25,323 Vol.
<1%
変更なし
$30,928 Vol.
85%
25ベーシスポイントの引き上げ
$41,099 Vol.
15%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利上げ
$24,091 Vol.
1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England's June 18 meeting carries an 85% market-implied probability of no change to the 3.75% Bank Rate, driven by the Monetary Policy Committee's 8-1 hold decision in late April and persistent inflation at 3.3% year-over-year. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy prices, pushing up fuel and utility costs while wage growth has slowed to a five-year low, tempering broader price pressures. Traders assign 14.5% odds to a 25 basis point hike, reflecting Governor Bailey's caution on inflation risks exceeding 3.5% by year-end and potential upside surprises in upcoming April CPI and May labor data. Negligible probabilities for cuts underscore the BoE's data-dependent stance, with monetary policy expected to remain responsive to energy volatility rather than pre-committed to easing.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
音量
$146,433終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England's June 18 meeting carries an 85% market-implied probability of no change to the 3.75% Bank Rate, driven by the Monetary Policy Committee's 8-1 hold decision in late April and persistent inflation at 3.3% year-over-year. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy prices, pushing up fuel and utility costs while wage growth has slowed to a five-year low, tempering broader price pressures. Traders assign 14.5% odds to a 25 basis point hike, reflecting Governor Bailey's caution on inflation risks exceeding 3.5% by year-end and potential upside surprises in upcoming April CPI and May labor data. Negligible probabilities for cuts underscore the BoE's data-dependent stance, with monetary policy expected to remain responsive to energy volatility rather than pre-committed to easing.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$146,433終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England's June 18 meeting carries an 85% market-implied probability of no change to the 3.75% Bank Rate, driven by the Monetary Policy Committee's 8-1 hold decision in late April and persistent inflation at 3.3% year-over-year. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy prices, pushing up fuel and utility costs while wage growth has slowed to a five-year low, tempering broader price pressures. Traders assign 14.5% odds to a 25 basis point hike, reflecting Governor Bailey's caution on inflation risks exceeding 3.5% by year-end and potential upside surprises in upcoming April CPI and May labor data. Negligible probabilities for cuts underscore the BoE's data-dependent stance, with monetary policy expected to remain responsive to energy volatility rather than pre-committed to easing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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