The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a D+33 Partisan Voter Index, high Democratic voter registration near 62 percent, and consistent presidential margins exceeding 35 points, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured over 55 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Samantha Mota while no Republican reached the November general. California's jungle primary system and the absence of a viable Republican nominee have reinforced the implied probability near 96 percent for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal in a seat with entrenched partisan patterns and no scheduled events capable of altering the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/02
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
新規
新規
2026/11/02
民主党
$2,044 Vol.
96%
共和党
$1,356 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a D+33 Partisan Voter Index, high Democratic voter registration near 62 percent, and consistent presidential margins exceeding 35 points, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured over 55 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Samantha Mota while no Republican reached the November general. California's jungle primary system and the absence of a viable Republican nominee have reinforced the implied probability near 96 percent for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal in a seat with entrenched partisan patterns and no scheduled events capable of altering the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$3,400終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a D+33 Partisan Voter Index, high Democratic voter registration near 62 percent, and consistent presidential margins exceeding 35 points, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured over 55 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Samantha Mota while no Republican reached the November general. California's jungle primary system and the absence of a viable Republican nominee have reinforced the implied probability near 96 percent for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal in a seat with entrenched partisan patterns and no scheduled events capable of altering the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,400終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a D+33 Partisan Voter Index, high Democratic voter registration near 62 percent, and consistent presidential margins exceeding 35 points, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured over 55 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Samantha Mota while no Republican reached the November general. California's jungle primary system and the absence of a viable Republican nominee have reinforced the implied probability near 96 percent for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal in a seat with entrenched partisan patterns and no scheduled events capable of altering the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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