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icon for ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月15日〜5月22日?

ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月15日〜5月22日?

icon for ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月15日〜5月22日?

ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月15日〜5月22日?

200以上 58%

180~199 14.1%

160~179 12%

140~159 9%

Polymarket

$22,795 Vol.

200以上 58%

180~199 14.1%

160~179 12%

140~159 9%

Polymarket

$22,795 Vol.

60〜79

$2,317 Vol.

<1%

80~99

$4,871 Vol.

<1%

100~119

$1,269 Vol.

3%

120~139

$1,104 Vol.

6%

140~159

$483 Vol.

9%

160~179

$352 Vol.

21%

180~199

$585 Vol.

14%

200以上

$941 Vol.

62%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign the highest probability to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts during May 15-22, 2026, reflecting expectations of sustained high-volume commentary tied to legislative negotiations, executive actions, and public responses to policy developments. This positioning draws from observed patterns where posting activity rises during periods of active debate on appropriations, regulatory matters, or international diplomacy. With several days remaining in the window, factors such as scheduled votes, agency announcements, or unfolding events could still shift the final count, though current pricing indicates broad consensus on continued frequent engagement consistent with recent weeks.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$22,795
終了日
2026/05/22
マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign the highest probability to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts during May 15-22, 2026, reflecting expectations of sustained high-volume commentary tied to legislative negotiations, executive actions, and public responses to policy developments. This positioning draws from observed patterns where posting activity rises during periods of active debate on appropriations, regulatory matters, or international diplomacy. With several days remaining in the window, factors such as scheduled votes, agency announcements, or unfolding events could still shift the final count, though current pricing indicates broad consensus on continued frequent engagement consistent with recent weeks.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$22,795
終了日
2026/05/22
マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月15日〜5月22日?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「200以上」で62%、次いで「160~179」が21%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、62¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に62%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月15日〜5月22日?」は$22.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 12, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月15日〜5月22日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月15日〜5月22日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「200以上」で62%であり、市場がこの結果に62%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「160~179」で21%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月15日〜5月22日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。