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icon for ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?

ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?

icon for ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?

ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?

120-139 26%

140-159 23%

100-119 15%

180-199 13%

Polymarket
新規

120-139 26%

140-159 23%

100-119 15%

180-199 13%

Polymarket
新規

<20

$4,162 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$993 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$923 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$1,117 Vol.

2%

80-99

$617 Vol.

4%

100-119

$246 Vol.

15%

120-139

$175 Vol.

26%

140-159

$162 Vol.

23%

160-179

$169 Vol.

9%

180-199

$125 Vol.

13%

200+

$120 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader expectations for Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity during the week of May 19–26 center on his established posting patterns amid routine political engagement. Recent months have shown steady daily output tied to policy commentary, legislative developments, and responses to news cycles, producing volumes that align closely with the leading 120–159 range. The narrow spread between the top two brackets reflects uncertainty over how upcoming events—such as congressional votes, media appearances, or international updates—might alter frequency. Periods of heightened visibility or breaking developments tend to increase posts, while quieter intervals moderate them. Traders weigh these variables against historical baselines to assess potential shifts in the final tally.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$8,809
終了日
2026/05/26
マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader expectations for Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity during the week of May 19–26 center on his established posting patterns amid routine political engagement. Recent months have shown steady daily output tied to policy commentary, legislative developments, and responses to news cycles, producing volumes that align closely with the leading 120–159 range. The narrow spread between the top two brackets reflects uncertainty over how upcoming events—such as congressional votes, media appearances, or international updates—might alter frequency. Periods of heightened visibility or breaking developments tend to increase posts, while quieter intervals moderate them. Traders weigh these variables against historical baselines to assess potential shifts in the final tally.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$8,809
終了日
2026/05/26
マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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よくある質問

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「120-139」で26%、次いで「140-159」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、26¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に26%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(May 16, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「120-139」で26%であり、市場がこの結果に26%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「140-159」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ドナルド・トランプ#真実ソーシャルポスト2026年5月19日〜5月26日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。