Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s typical X activity over a quiet three-day stretch, reflecting his established pattern of posting replies, commentary, and updates at a moderate but steady clip when no major company announcements or global events dominate his feed. The sub-40 bucket sits close behind because Musk’s volume can drop sharply during travel, family time, or focused work periods, creating meaningful downside risk. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained 20-plus tweets per day usually require external catalysts such as product launches or political developments, none of which appear on the immediate horizon before July 9. With the window only days away, any last-minute news cycle or Musk interview could quickly shift the distribution between the two leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日40-64 49%
<40 36%
65-89 13%
90-114 3.4%
新規
$19,923 Vol.
新規
$19,923 Vol.
2026/07/11
<40
36%
40-64
49%
65-89
13%
90-114
3%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 49%
<40 36%
65-89 13%
90-114 3.4%
新規
$19,923 Vol.
新規
$19,923 Vol.
2026/07/11
<40
$163 Vol.
36%
40-64
$620 Vol.
49%
65-89
$966 Vol.
13%
90-114
$1,494 Vol.
3%
115-139
$1,224 Vol.
1%
140-164
$514 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$268 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$4,896 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$4,202 Vol.
<1%
240+
$5,576 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 9 12:00 PM ET to July 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s typical X activity over a quiet three-day stretch, reflecting his established pattern of posting replies, commentary, and updates at a moderate but steady clip when no major company announcements or global events dominate his feed. The sub-40 bucket sits close behind because Musk’s volume can drop sharply during travel, family time, or focused work periods, creating meaningful downside risk. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained 20-plus tweets per day usually require external catalysts such as product launches or political developments, none of which appear on the immediate horizon before July 9. With the window only days away, any last-minute news cycle or Musk interview could quickly shift the distribution between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 9 12:00 PM ET to July 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Jul 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
音量
$19,923終了日
2026/07/11マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 9 12:00 PM ET to July 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s typical X activity over a quiet three-day stretch, reflecting his established pattern of posting replies, commentary, and updates at a moderate but steady clip when no major company announcements or global events dominate his feed. The sub-40 bucket sits close behind because Musk’s volume can drop sharply during travel, family time, or focused work periods, creating meaningful downside risk. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained 20-plus tweets per day usually require external catalysts such as product launches or political developments, none of which appear on the immediate horizon before July 9. With the window only days away, any last-minute news cycle or Musk interview could quickly shift the distribution between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 9 12:00 PM ET to July 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$19,923終了日
2026/07/11マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s typical X activity over a quiet three-day stretch, reflecting his established pattern of posting replies, commentary, and updates at a moderate but steady clip when no major company announcements or global events dominate his feed. The sub-40 bucket sits close behind because Musk’s volume can drop sharply during travel, family time, or focused work periods, creating meaningful downside risk. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained 20-plus tweets per day usually require external catalysts such as product launches or political developments, none of which appear on the immediate horizon before July 9. With the window only days away, any last-minute news cycle or Musk interview could quickly shift the distribution between the two leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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