Senator John Fetterman has repeatedly and explicitly stated that he has no plans to leave the Democratic Party, including in a May 2026 Washington Post op-ed affirming his alignment with core Democratic positions on issues such as abortion, labor, and LGBTQ rights. Recent speculation about a potential switch or independent status, driven by his cross-aisle votes and public comments on foreign policy and immigration, prompted outreach from Republican figures but produced no shift in his caucus affiliation or voting patterns. With the June 30 resolution date now days away and no announcements or procedural moves indicating a change, trader consensus reflects these consistent public denials. Late developments such as an unexpected statement, health-related absence, or external pressure from party leaders could still theoretically alter the outcome before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$8,620 Vol.
$8,620 Vol.
2026/06/30
$8,620 Vol.
$8,620 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Senator John Fetterman has repeatedly and explicitly stated that he has no plans to leave the Democratic Party, including in a May 2026 Washington Post op-ed affirming his alignment with core Democratic positions on issues such as abortion, labor, and LGBTQ rights. Recent speculation about a potential switch or independent status, driven by his cross-aisle votes and public comments on foreign policy and immigration, prompted outreach from Republican figures but produced no shift in his caucus affiliation or voting patterns. With the June 30 resolution date now days away and no announcements or procedural moves indicating a change, trader consensus reflects these consistent public denials. Late developments such as an unexpected statement, health-related absence, or external pressure from party leaders could still theoretically alter the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
音量
$8,620終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Senator John Fetterman has repeatedly and explicitly stated that he has no plans to leave the Democratic Party, including in a May 2026 Washington Post op-ed affirming his alignment with core Democratic positions on issues such as abortion, labor, and LGBTQ rights. Recent speculation about a potential switch or independent status, driven by his cross-aisle votes and public comments on foreign policy and immigration, prompted outreach from Republican figures but produced no shift in his caucus affiliation or voting patterns. With the June 30 resolution date now days away and no announcements or procedural moves indicating a change, trader consensus reflects these consistent public denials. Late developments such as an unexpected statement, health-related absence, or external pressure from party leaders could still theoretically alter the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$8,620終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Senator John Fetterman has repeatedly and explicitly stated that he has no plans to leave the Democratic Party, including in a May 2026 Washington Post op-ed affirming his alignment with core Democratic positions on issues such as abortion, labor, and LGBTQ rights. Recent speculation about a potential switch or independent status, driven by his cross-aisle votes and public comments on foreign policy and immigration, prompted outreach from Republican figures but produced no shift in his caucus affiliation or voting patterns. With the June 30 resolution date now days away and no announcements or procedural moves indicating a change, trader consensus reflects these consistent public denials. Late developments such as an unexpected statement, health-related absence, or external pressure from party leaders could still theoretically alter the outcome before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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