Florida's 9th congressional district, held by Democratic incumbent Darren Soto since 2017, carries an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index following recent redistricting that shifted the seat toward Republicans. Forecasters rate the November 2026 race Likely Republican, citing the altered electorate and Soto's narrower path to victory despite his 2024 performance. The August 18 Republican primary concluded with Dan Green emerging as nominee after a crowded field, setting up the general election matchup. Trader consensus reflects these structural and candidate developments, with limited polling available this far out but consistent emphasis on the district's partisan lean as the primary driver.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,476 Vol.
$18,476 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
71%
民主党
31%
$18,476 Vol.
$18,476 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$10,873 Vol.
71%
民主党
$7,603 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district, held by Democratic incumbent Darren Soto since 2017, carries an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index following recent redistricting that shifted the seat toward Republicans. Forecasters rate the November 2026 race Likely Republican, citing the altered electorate and Soto's narrower path to victory despite his 2024 performance. The August 18 Republican primary concluded with Dan Green emerging as nominee after a crowded field, setting up the general election matchup. Trader consensus reflects these structural and candidate developments, with limited polling available this far out but consistent emphasis on the district's partisan lean as the primary driver.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$18,476終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district, held by Democratic incumbent Darren Soto since 2017, carries an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index following recent redistricting that shifted the seat toward Republicans. Forecasters rate the November 2026 race Likely Republican, citing the altered electorate and Soto's narrower path to victory despite his 2024 performance. The August 18 Republican primary concluded with Dan Green emerging as nominee after a crowded field, setting up the general election matchup. Trader consensus reflects these structural and candidate developments, with limited polling available this far out but consistent emphasis on the district's partisan lean as the primary driver.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,476終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 9th congressional district, held by Democratic incumbent Darren Soto since 2017, carries an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index following recent redistricting that shifted the seat toward Republicans. Forecasters rate the November 2026 race Likely Republican, citing the altered electorate and Soto's narrower path to victory despite his 2024 performance. The August 18 Republican primary concluded with Dan Green emerging as nominee after a crowded field, setting up the general election matchup. Trader consensus reflects these structural and candidate developments, with limited polling available this far out but consistent emphasis on the district's partisan lean as the primary driver.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問