Skip to main content
icon for Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

icon for Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

$380,945 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$380,945 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for December 31

December 31

$59,699 Vol.

100%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Gustavo Petro remains Colombia’s incumbent president under a single-term limit barring re-election, with his mandate concluding upon the inauguration of a successor on August 7, 2026.** No verified early-exit mechanisms—such as successful impeachment, resignation, or constitutional removal—have advanced, leaving the scheduled handover as the dominant driver of market pricing around year-end dates. A June 10 legislative commission motion proposed temporary suspension through June 21 over alleged campaign meddling for leftist candidate Iván Cepeda, yet Petro stays in office pending further proceedings. The May 31 first-round presidential vote, which saw right-leaning Abelardo de la Espriella advance to a June 21 runoff against Cepeda, has not altered Petro’s status. Traders therefore price near-certain continuity until the constitutional transition, with any shift requiring concrete congressional or judicial action within the narrow remaining window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$380,945
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Gustavo Petro remains Colombia’s incumbent president under a single-term limit barring re-election, with his mandate concluding upon the inauguration of a successor on August 7, 2026.** No verified early-exit mechanisms—such as successful impeachment, resignation, or constitutional removal—have advanced, leaving the scheduled handover as the dominant driver of market pricing around year-end dates. A June 10 legislative commission motion proposed temporary suspension through June 21 over alleged campaign meddling for leftist candidate Iván Cepeda, yet Petro stays in office pending further proceedings. The May 31 first-round presidential vote, which saw right-leaning Abelardo de la Espriella advance to a June 21 runoff against Cepeda, has not altered Petro’s status. Traders therefore price near-certain continuity until the constitutional transition, with any shift requiring concrete congressional or judicial action within the narrow remaining window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$380,945
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「December 31」で100%、次いで「June 30」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?」は$380.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 4, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?」の現在のフロントランナーは「December 31」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「June 30」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。