Recent ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS place Ankara’s maximum temperature for May 17 in the 17–19 °C range, reflecting a modest warm-air advection under weak high pressure and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. The closely matched market prices for these three outcomes capture the remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat-island effects over the city’s elevated terrain. Historical May averages for the capital hover near 22 °C, yet today’s slightly cooler profile stems from lingering northerly flow that has suppressed peak values compared with mid-month climatology. Updated short-range model runs issued in the past 12 hours continue to show only minor spread, keeping the three central bins dominant ahead of final observational verification by the Turkish State Meteorological Service.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のアンカラの最高気温は?
18℃ 51%
19℃ 38%
20°C 12%
22°C <1%
$30,367 Vol.
$30,367 Vol.
13℃以下
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃
51%
19℃
38%
20°C
12%
21℃
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C以上
<1%
18℃ 51%
19℃ 38%
20°C 12%
22°C <1%
$30,367 Vol.
$30,367 Vol.
13℃以下
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃
51%
19℃
38%
20°C
12%
21℃
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS place Ankara’s maximum temperature for May 17 in the 17–19 °C range, reflecting a modest warm-air advection under weak high pressure and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. The closely matched market prices for these three outcomes capture the remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat-island effects over the city’s elevated terrain. Historical May averages for the capital hover near 22 °C, yet today’s slightly cooler profile stems from lingering northerly flow that has suppressed peak values compared with mid-month climatology. Updated short-range model runs issued in the past 12 hours continue to show only minor spread, keeping the three central bins dominant ahead of final observational verification by the Turkish State Meteorological Service.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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